Newfoundland & Labrador1. Riding: Bonavista-Exploits, Nfld.Incumbent: Tory Rex BarnesFirst elected: 2002Percentage of vote in 2002: 48.5%Margin of victory: 721Outlook: Leans LiberalThis is a traditional Liberal seat that was represented by recently-appointed Liberal Sen. George Baker for over two decades. Conservative MP Rex Barnes, a paramedic and municipal councillor, won it in a 2002 byelection in a major upset against the Liberals' Beaton Tulk, who served as interim premier when Brian Tobin stepped down in 2000. This time around, Mr. Barnes is up against the Liberal's Scott Simms, a former radio reporter and now a weatherman on the Weather Network.Newfoundland & Labrador1. Riding: Bonavista-Exploits, Nfld.Incumbent: Tory Rex BarnesFirst elected: 2002Percentage of vote in 2002: 48.5%Margin of victory: 721Outlook: Leans LiberalThis is a traditional Liberal seat that was represented by recently-appointed Liberal Sen. George Baker for over two decades. Conservative MP Rex Barnes, a paramedic and municipal councillor, won it in a 2002 byelection in a major upset against the Liberals' Beaton Tulk, who served as interim premier when Brian Tobin stepped down in 2000. This time around, Mr. Barnes is up against the Liberal's Scott Simms, a former radio reporter and now a weatherman on the Weather Network.Working against Mr. Barnes is that the riding (formerly called Gander-Grand Falls) was re-jigged in a way seen as favourable to the Liberals. The riding is the fourth poorest in Canada, with unemployment at 28.9%. The NDP candidate is Samuel Robert McLean.2. Riding: Random-Burin-St.George's, Nfld.Incumbent: Tory Bill MatthewsFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 47%Margin of victory: 8,804Outlook: Leans LiberalThis riding along Newfoundland's south coast includes several fishing outposts and has high unemployment. It's currently represented by Liberal MP Bill Matthews who earned his seat in 1997 as a Progressive Conservative when he defeated former Liberal MP Roger Simmons. Mr. Matthews then crossed the floor in 2000 and got re-elected as a Liberal, winning easily against an unaffiliated candidate. He now faces off against the Conservative's Larry Peckford, a longtime federal public servant. The NDP is going with Des McGrath.3. Riding: St. John's North, Nfld.Incumbent: Tory Norman DoyleFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 52%Margin of victory: 9,771Outlook: Leans ConservativeThis riding boasts a fickle electorate that has supported NDP, Liberal and Tory MPs over the past 30 years. Tory incumbent Norman Doyle won here for the first time in 1997 by besting the NDP by a 4,800 margin and then won re-election in 2000 by nearly 10,000 votes against his closest Liberal rival. From 1993 to 1997, Liberal Bonnie Hickey was the MP.St. John's North used to be St. John's East until this year when the riding was renamed after losing about one-fifth of its population to neighbouring Avalon where Grit incumbent John Efford is seeking re-election. The Liberals have a strong candidate in Walter Noel, a local businessman and former Newfoundland mines and energy Cabinet minister who served in the provincial legislature for 14 years. He was defeated in last year. The NDP candidate is Janine Piller, also with business background.4. Riding: St. John's South, Nfld.Incumbent: Tory Loyola HearnFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 53%Margin of victory: 8,822Outlook: Leans ConservativeThis is a traditional Conservative riding. Conservative MP Loyola Hearn won a seat here in a byelection in May of 2000, defeating the NDP's Greg Malone by just 356 votes. He then took the riding in the general election later that year by nearly 9,000 votes, beating out the Liberal's Chuck Furey.In 2004, Mr. Hearn is up against Liberal candidate Siobhan Coady, a high-profile businesswoman who is past chair of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce. In 2003, Ms. Siobhan received the Queen's Jubilee Medal and was recognized as an Ambassador, Hospitality Newfoundland and Labrador. The NDP candidate is Peg Norman, a local filmmaker whose film, My Left Breast, won several international awards. The riding, formerly St. John's West, lost a fifth of its population to the nearby riding of Avalon.Nova Scotia5. Riding: Central Nova, N.S.Incumbent: Tory Peter MacKayFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 48%Margin of victory: 6,622Outlook: Safe ConservativeThis should be a safe seat for incumbent Tory Peter MacKay, the 37-year-old former leader of the Progressive Conservative Party who helped engineer the merger of his party with the Alliance. The riding was slightly reconfigured and includes about 90% of Mr. MacKay's old riding of Pictou-Antigonish-Guysborough. The riding has been mostly Conservative for the past 40 years, electing Mr. MacKay's father, former PC Brian Mulroney Cabinet minister Elmer MacKay, several times. The area does have a history of voting Liberal. From 1935 to 1957, Liberal H.B. McCulloch was the MP.The Liberals are going with Susan Green, an elementary and high school teacher from New Glasgow who also runs a local business. The NDP candidate is Alexis MacDonald, a student currently pursuing an education degree who lives in Antigonish.6. Riding: Darmouth Cole-Harbour, N.S.Incumbent: (Not running) NDP MP Wendy LillFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 36%Margin of victory: 1,177Outlook: TossupThis riding was renamed Dartmouth-Cole Harbour in 2004. It includes more than 90% of the of the old riding of Dartmouth that was represented by NDP MP Wendy Lill who was recently diagnosed with multiple sclerosis and is retiring. The riding has elected its share of NDP, Liberal and PC candidates over the past 40 years. Former PC MP Mike Forrestall (now a Senator) was first elected here in 1965 and was re-elected six more times. It then went Liberal for two terms from 1988 to 1997 under Ron MacDonald.The candidates now vying for this hotly-contested seat are the NDP's Susan MacAlpine-Gillis, a local activist and a United Minister with a master's in divinity. The Grits are fielding Michael Savage, who also boasts a strong background in community activism and is past president of the Heart and Stroke Foundation of Nova Scotia. And the Tory candidate is Michael MacDonald, 49, who has a background as a political staffer and now runs a motel and restaurant. Mr. Savage is also son of the late Nova Scotia premier John Savage.7. Riding: Halifax West, N.S.Incumbent: Liberal Geoff Regan (Minister of Fisheries and Oceans)First elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 39%Margin of victory: 4,311Outlook: Likely LiberalThis is turning into a battle between Fisheries Minister Geoff Regan and NDP candidate Bill Carr whose party is making a big push in the riding. Former leader Alexa McDonough, who is running next door in Halifax, has been campaigning hard for Mr. Carr to raise his profile. Mr. Carr is a well-known Halifax actor, humourist, and writer who has a weekly column with the Chronicle Herald. The Conservative candidate, Ken MacPhee, is not seen as a factor.8. Riding: King-Hants, N.S.Incumbent: Liberal Scott BrisonFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 40%Margin of victory: 4,399 votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeThe Liberals scored a major coup when they managed to recruit MP Scott Brison last December. The former Progressive Conservative, who also ran for the now defunct party's leadership last year, was quickly rewarded by Prime Minister Paul Martin who made him his Parliamentary secretary on U.S. relations. He's also gotten the support of former P.C. Party leader Joe Clark who campaigned for him in the riding.Mr. Brison is up against Conservative candidate Bob Mullan, a family physician and past president of the Nova Scotia Medical Society, and NDP candidate Skip Hambling, who has a background in media. The rural riding has been a Conservative stronghold for the past 50 years, though Mr. Brison remains popular.9. Riding: South Shore-St. Margaret's, N.S.Incumbent: Tory Gerald KeddyFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 39%Margin of victory: 1,651Outlook: Leans ConservativeThis is a race between incumbent Conservative MP Gerald Keddy and NDP candidate Gordon Earle, a former MP who was elected in 1997 and defeated in 2000, is well-liked in the riding which has a progressive streak to it. Mr. Earle, a former civil servant, is the first black Nova Scotian elected to the House of Commons. Major questions have been raised in this riding whether voters here are ready to endorse Conservative leader Stephen Harper, formerly of the Reform-Alliance parties. The Liberal candidate is John Chandler, a lawyer and senior partner with Merrick-Holm in Halifax.10. Riding: West Nova, N.S.Incumbent: Liberal Robert ThibaultFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 35%Margin of victory: 703 votesOutlook: TossupThis riding with a large francophone population has swung between Liberal and PC MPs every election since 1979. No incumbent has been re-elected during this time, which could spell trouble for Grit MP Robert Thibault who is seeking a second term. Mr. Thibault only won in 2000 against then PC MP Mark Muise by 703 votes.The NDP's Arthur Bull is expected to capitalize on voter anger over Liberal waste and voter skepticism of the new Conservative Party which has many members who have spoken against regional economic agencies which are popular in this rural riding where unemployment is over 10%. The Conservative candidate is Jon Carey who was elected to the provincial legislature in 1999 but was defeated in 2003.Prince Edward Island11. Riding: Cardigan, P.E.I.Incumbent: LiberalLawrence MacAulayFirst elected: 1988Percentage of vote in 2000: 47%Margin of victory: 276Outlook: TossupThis riding has bounced back and forth between Conservative and Liberal MPs for the past 40 years. Liberal MP Lawrence MacAulay won his first term in 1988 by defeating then incumbent MP Pat Binns, who is now the Conservative Premier of the province. Mr. MacAulay, who resigned his Cabinet seat in 2002 as Solicitor General amid allegations of conflict of interest, is running against Conservative candidate Peter McQuaid, one-time chief of staff to Premier Binns from 1996 to 2004, as well as deputy minister of intergovernmental affairs. The NDP candidate is Dave McKinnon, a party activist and past leader of the Fisherman's Unions in Nova Scotia and Newfoundland.12. Riding: Charlottetown, P.E.I.Incumbent: Liberal Shawn MurphyFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 41%Margin of victory: 2,238Outlook: Likely LiberalThis urban riding has gone Liberal since 1988, though it has a strong Conservative streak dating back to the 1960s. In 2000, Liberal MP Shawn Murphy defeated the PC candidate Darren Peters by 2,238 votes in Hillsborough. The riding was re-jigged slightly and renamed Charlottetown. Mr. Murphy faces off again against Mr. Peters, the Conservative candidate and a former Parliament Hill staffer and party organizer. The NDP candidate is Dody Crane.13. Riding: Malpeque, P.E.I.Incumbent: Liberal Wayne EasterFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 48%Margin of victory: 1,786Outlook: TossupThis rural riding has been Liberal red since 1988, but has a strong history of supporting PC MPs making the new Conservatives hopeful that a breakthrough is possible. Grit incumbent Wayne Easter, who won in 2000 by nearly 1,800 votes, is going for this third term. He was made solicitor general in 2003 but demoted to the backbenches by Prime Minister Paul Martin.The Conservative candidate is Mary Crane, a high school teacher who also runs her own beef farm with her husband. The NDP candidate is Ken Bingham, a musician and certified organic farmer who ran here in 2000 but only managed to get 782 votes.New Brunswick14. Riding: Beausejour, N.B.Incumbent: Liberal Dominic LeBlancFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 46%Margin of victory: 6,834Outlook: Likely LiberalThis is the rubber match race of the election. Liberal MP Dominic LeBlanc faces off for the third time against Conservative candidate Angela Vautour, a former NDP MP who crossed the floor to join the Progressive Conservative Party in 2000. Mr. LeBlanc lost to Ms. Vautour in 1997 by 1,975 votes (when the former MP was with the NDP) but then beat her in 2000 by nearly 7,000 votes (after she'd crossed over to the PC Party).The riding, which was rejigged slightly in 2004, has been represented by high-profile Liberal MPs, including Mr. LeBlanc's dad, Romeo LeBlanc, who later became a Senator and then Governor General, and then by Liberal leader Jean Chretien who won a 1990 byelection here.15. Riding: Fredericton, N.B.Incumbent: Liberal Andy Scott (Infrastructure Minister)First elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 38%Margin of victory: 3,256Outlook: Leans ConservativeLiberal MP Andy Scott got back into Cabinet under Prime Minister Paul Martin after losing his post as Solicitor General for his APEC planetalk fiasco. He's now the federal infrastructure minister. He won his seat in 1993 in a major upset as the riding, which takes in the provincial capital of Fredericton, had been Tory since 1957. Mr. Scott could be in trouble as the combined PC and Alliance vote in 2000 was larger than his.The Conservative candidate is Kent Fox, a local businessman who used to run a Mark's Work Wearhouse franchise. The NDP is running John Carty, an international aid worker with deep family roots in Fredericton.16. Riding: Fundy, N.B.Incumbent: Liberal John HerronFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 40%Margin of victory: 3,857Outlook: Leans ConservativeThis riding located in the southern tip of New Brunswick on the Bay of Fundy has very deep conservative roots. It's backed the PC Party every election since 1917 except in 1993 when former Liberal MP Paul Zed (now running for the Grits in Saint John) won in an upset.Mr. Zed then lost his seat four years later in 1997 to John Herron, the current MP for the riding who crossed the floor to the Liberals this year rather than join the newly-formed Conservative Party. The Conservative candidate is Rob Moore, a former Hill staffer and lawyer who worked as a justice policy adviser in the Opposition Leader's Office. The NDP candidate is Pat Hanratty.17. Riding: Madawaska-Restigouche, N.B.Incumbent: (Not running)Liberal Jeannot CastonguayFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 50%Margin of victory: 5,496Outlook: Leans LiberalThis riding used to be in the hands of the PC Party from 1993 to 1997 but it went Liberal in 2000 when incumbent MP Jeannot Castonguay won by nearly 5,000 votes. Mr. Castonguay is not running in 2004, leaving it up to Jean-Claude D'Amours, a municipal councillor with a business background, to carry the Liberal banner on election day. He's up against Conservative candidate Benoit Violette, a 35-year-old former Hill staffer who worked for former PC MP Jean Dube. The NDP candidate is Rodolphe Martin.18. Riding: Saint John, N.B.Incumbent: (Not running)Tory Elsie WayneFirst elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 50%Margin of victory: 7,216Outlook: TossupThis urban riding in the southern part of the province will have a new MP now that incumbent Elsie Wayne is stepping down. She defeated Liberal Paul Zed in 2000 by over 7,200 votes. Mr. Zed, a former MP who represented Fundy-Royal from 1993 to 1997 and president of Ottawa-based Summa Strategies Canada, is back for the Liberals. He is facing off against Conservative candidate Bob McVicar, a popular city councillor and local businessman who is currently president of the Saint John Board of Trade. The NDP candidate is Terry Albright.19. Riding: Tobique-Mactaquac, N.B.Incumbent: Liberal Andy SavoyFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 33%Margin of victory: 150Outlook: Leans ConservativeAnother riding where the combined PC-Alliance vote out-numbered the Liberal tally in 2000. In the last campaign, Liberal MP Andy Savoy upset former PC MP Gilles Bernier by just 150 votes. Mr. Bernier had earned his seat back in 1993 when he defeated Liberal MP Pierrette Ringuette-Maltais, now a Senator.About one-sixth of the population here is made up of francophones. Though Mr. Savoy is expected to pick up some of the votes that went PC in the last election, much of the riding traditionally pulls right, including new territory gained to the south that voted heavily for the PC-Alliance candidates in 2000. The Conservative candidate is Michael Allen, a member of the Certified General Accountant's Association of New Brunswick and an energy sector consultant.Quebec20. Riding: Beautharnois-Salaberry, Que.Incumbent: Liberal Serge MarcilFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 46%Margin of victory: 2,896Outlook: TossupLiberal MP Serge Marcil won his first term in this riding in southern Quebec along the U.S. border in 2000 by defeating Bloc MP Daniel Turp. The riding has traditionally been a Liberal stronghold, starting back in the early 1950s. This is where former deputy Speaker Gerald Laniel won in Beautharnois-Salaberry in 1962 and served seven terms as MP.Mr. Marcil, who was an MLA from 1985 to 1994 where he served as minister of employment for Quebec, is up against the Bloc's Alain Boire, an information technology technician. The Conservative candidate is Dominique Bellemare and the NDP is going with Ligy Alakkattussery.21. Riding: Beauport, Que.Incumbent: Bloc Michel GuimondFirst elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 40%Margin of victory: 2,627Outlook: Leans LiberalThis large riding of nearly 100,000 people on the edge of Quebec City was dramatically redrawn in 2004. In 2000, veteran Bloc MP Michel Guimond won a third term in the old riding of Beauport-Montmorency-Orieans by 2,627 votes against the Liberal candidate. Though the new riding of Beauport is made up of 57 per cent of Mr. Guimond's old riding, Mr. Guimond decided to run in neighbouring Charlevoix--Montmorency.This has opened the door for former Grit MP Dennis Dawson's return to Parliament Hill. Elected as an MP back in 1977, the well-known Quebec commentator and close confidante of Prime Minister Paul Martin is running in Beauport against Bloc candidate Christian Simard, a local administrator. The NDP is running with Xavier Tregan, while the Conservative candidate is Stephan Asselin.22. Riding: Brome-Missisquoi, Que.Incumbent: Liberal Denis ParadisFirst elected: 1995Percentage of vote in 2000: 49%Margin of victory: 8,182Outlook: At Risk for LiberalsThis is one of the few seats outside the Montreal area that could remain in Liberal hands, though some Liberals are fretting it is also at risk as the Bloc represented it from 1993 to 1994. Liberal incumbent Denis Paradis won here in a 1995 byelection after the seat became vacant upon the death of Bloc MP Gaston Peloquin. Mr. Paradis, now the junior minister for financial institutions, won by nearly 8,200 votes in 2000.The Bloc is going with Christian Ouellet, an architect and former professor. The Conservatives have high hopes for the riding and count it as one of five they have a shot at winning in Quebec. Their candidate is Peter Stastny, a well-known local businessman who was also mayor of the local hamlet of Sutton in the mid-1990s. The NDP candidate is Piper Huggins.23. Riding: Chateauguay-Saint-Constant, Que.Incumbent: Liberal Robert LanctotFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 45%Margin of victory: 3,312Outlook: At Risk for LiberalsThis fairly affluent urban riding gave Liberal MP Robert Lanctot his first term in 2000, though back then he was with the Bloc. In that election he defeated Liberal Carole Marcil by 3,312 votes. The riding had a long history of voting Liberal until the PC sweeps in 1984 and 1988. It then went to the Bloc's Maurice Godin in 1993 who remained in office until 2000.Mr. Lanctot, a young lawyer with a background in mediation, defected to the Liberals last year and is up against the Bloc's Denise Poirier-Rivard who has a background in tourism. He's expected to be one of the many casualties at the hands of the Bloc Quebecois expected to capitalize on resentment against the Liberals due to the sponsorship scandal. The Conservative candidate is Robert Turcot and the NDP's is Melanie Archambault.24. Riding: Compton-Stanstead, Que.Incumbent: Liberal David PriceFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 45%Margin of victory: 2,921Outlook: At Risk for LiberalsThis riding hugging the U.S. border in the Eastern Townships is one of the few remaining pockets outside the Montreal area where English is widely spoken. Liberal incumbent David Price is going for a third term, his second under the Liberal banner. Mr. Price was originally elected as a PC MP in 1997 but crossed the floor in 2000. Before him, the riding was represented by Bloc MP Gaston Leroux for one term from 1993 to 1997.Mr. Price, who is Parliamentary secretary to the minister of defence, won by nearly 3,000 votes in 2000. He's up against the Bloc's France Bonsant, a Bell Canada representative and former municipal councillor. The Conservative candidate is Gary Caldwell, a teacher and researcher, and the NDP's Martin Baller.25. Riding: Gaspesie-Iles-de-la-Madeleine, Que.Incumbent: Liberal Georges FarrahFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 52%Margin of victory: 3,681Outlook: TossupThis riding is located on the eastern coast of the Gaspe Peninsula and has a high unemployment rate of about 22%. Liberal MP Georges Farrah, a former fisheries minister in the Quebec government, is running against the Bloc's Raynald Blais for a second time. Mr. Farrah won his first term as MP in 2000 by defeating Mr. Blais, a radio reporter, by 3,681 votes. The Conservative candidate is Guy de Coste, while the NDP is going with Phil Toone.26. Riding: Gatineau, Que.Incumbent: (Not running) Liberal Mark AssadFirst elected: 1988Percentage of vote in 2000: 50%Margin of victory: 13,197Outlook: Leans LiberalThe Liberal Party has owned this riding since 1988 but with the departure of incumbent Mark Assad, who decided to retire, speculation is that the Bloc could be poised for an upset. The riding is predominately French-speaking. The Liberal candidate is Francoise Boivin, a lawyer and community activist who used to host a radio show in the 1990s. She'll be up against the Bloc's Richard Nadeau, a long-time teacher currently with the Public School Board of Eastern Ontario. The Conservative candidate is Gerald Nicolas, a 33-year-old federal public servant. The NDP is going with Dominique Vaillancourt.27. Riding: Honore-Mercier, Que.Incumbent: (Not running) Liberal Yvon CharbonneauFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 56%Margin of victory: 13,379Outlook: Leans LiberalLiberal MP Yvon Charbonneau surprised many when he decided not to seek re-election on the eve of the election, only two days before the writ was dropped. Longtime Liberal activist and organizer Pablo Rodriguez, currently the president of the Quebec wing of the federal Liberal Party, is running in his place. Mr. Rodriguez, 36, is also former president of the Young Liberals of Canada.The Bloc has fielded Eric St-Hilaire, a city bus driver and Bloc organizer. This is a very urban riding on the eastern shore of Montreal which the Bloc party represented from 1993 to 1997. The Conservative candidate is Gianni Chiazzes, while the NDP's is Patrice Lorrain-Chenu.28. Riding: Lac Saint Louis, Que.Incumbent: (Not running) Liberal Clifford LincolnFirst elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 73%Margin of victory: 39,104Outlook: Safe LiberalThis is another riding that will get a new MP now that Liberal incumbent Clifford Lincoln has decided to retire after a distinguished career in federal and Quebec provincial politics. The riding changed very little in the redistribution process and should remain Liberal. Mr. Lincoln blew his closest PC rival out of the water by nearly 40,000 votes in 2000.The Liberals are now going with Francis Scarpaleggia, a former financial analyst who is Mr. Lincoln's longtime political staffer on the Hill. The Conservative candidate is Jeff Howard, a former member of the Canadian Forces who now works for the Conservative Party.29. Riding: Levis-Bellechasse, Que.Incumbent: Liberal Christian JobinFirst elected: 2003Percentage of vote in 2003: 55%Margin of victory: 4,841Outlook: At Risk for LiberalsGrit MP Christian Jobin won his seat in a byelection last year against the Bloc's Maxime Frechette by a healthy margin of nearly 4,900 votes. He got his shot after the Bloc's Antoine Dube, an MP in his third term at the time, resigned in 2003 to run for the Parti Quebecois in the provincial election. Mr. Jobin, a certified general accountant, is up against the Bloc's Real Lapierre, a longtime city councillor and current major of Beaumont.This predominantly francophone riding has been dramatically redrawn and appears poised to be scooped up by the Bloc. However, about half of this riding used to be represented by retiring Liberal MP Gilbert Normand who handily won his seat by nearly 4,200 votes. The Conservative candidate is Gilles Vezina, while the NDP is fielding Louise Foisy.30. Riding: Louis-Hebert, Que.Incumbent: Liberal Helene Scherrer (Heritage Minister)First elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 40%Margin of victory: 2,455Outlook: At Risk for LiberalsThis mostly urban riding has bounced back and forth between Liberal, Progressive Conservative, and Bloc MPs over the past four decades. In 2000, Liberal Helene Scherrer defeated Bloc Quebecois candidate Helene Alarie by 2,455 votes. Former Bloc MP Philippe Pare won the seat in the Bloc sweep of 1993. Going back further, former Liberal MP Dennis Dawson (whose making a comeback for the Grits in neighbouring Beauport) represented the area in the early 1980s.This time around, Ms. Scherrer - who was rewarded for her outspoken support of Prime Minister Paul Martin's leadership bid with a Cabinet post as heritage minister - is running against Roger Clavet who is on leave of absence from his job with Radio-Canada in Winnipeg. In effect, Mr. Clavet is up against his boss as Ms. Sherrer has responsibility for the CBC. The Conservative candidate is Clermont Gauthier and the NDP's is Robert Turcotte.31. Riding: Lotbiniere-Chutes-de-la-Chaudiere, Que.Incumbent: Bloc Odina DesrochersFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 44%Margin of victory: 2,788Outlook: Leans BlocThis mostly francophone riding located on the southern shore of the St. Lawrence River across from Quebec City was significantly redrawn this year in a way that could benefit the Liberals. Roughly half is made up of Bloc MP Odina Desrochers' old riding and the other half comes from Liberal MP Christian Jobin's old riding. As Mr. Jobin is running in a neighbouring riding, Mr. Desrochers - who won by only 2,788 votes in 2000 - remains the only incumbent vying for a seat here.He will be facing off against Liberal candidate Anicet Gagne, a longtime federal public servant and former teacher. He is currently on leave from the Department of Indian and Northern Affairs as associate chief federal negotiator. The Conservatives are going with Jean Landry, while the NDP candidate is Jean Bernatchez.32. Riding: Louis St-Laurent, Que.Incumbent: Not running (Liberal Jean Carignan)First elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 37%Margin of victory: 647Outlook: At Risk for LiberalsThis riding that makes up a big part of Quebec City will be difficult for the Liberals to hold on to. Liberal incumbent Jean Carignan only won by 647 votes in 2000. He then left the party in disgrace in 2001 after he pleaded guilty to a hit and run charge. He has decided not to run again, leaving it up to Michel Fragasso, a tax and financial analyst, to carry the Liberal banner.The riding was substantially redrawn, absorbing a big chunk of neighbouring Portneuf where Liberal MP Claude Duplain is running for re-election. Originally called Quebec East, it was once held by former prime minister Sir Wilfrid Laurier. This time around, Mr. Fragasso is up against the Bloc's Bernard Cleary, a former journalism professor who now works on aboriginal issues. The Conservative candidate is Josee Verner, who has a highprofile as a former staffer to former Quebec premier Robert Bourassa. The NDP is going with Christopher Bojanowski.33. Riding: Manicouagan, Que.Incumbent: Not running (Bloc Ghislain Fournier)First elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 51%Margin of victory: 3,825Outlook: Likely BlocThis riding in the east of Quebec borders Newfoundland and Labrador and lost its MP when Bloc MP Ghislain Fournier lost his nomination to Gerard Asselin, a local tradesperson. Mr. Asselin will be up against the Liberal's Anthony Detroio, 67, who is a successful local businessman. The riding also features the NDP's young star candidate, Pierre Ducasse, who impressed many last year when he ran for the party's leadership. The NDP, however, doesn't have a good track record in the area. Its candidate in the 2000 campaign only received 386 votes, or nearly 2% support. The Conservative candidate is Pierre Paradis.34, Riding: Megantic-L'Erable, Que.Incumbent: Liberal Gerard BinetFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000: 45%Margin of victory: 1,366Outlook: TossupLiberal incumbent Gerard Binet won his first term as MP in 2000 by defeating the Bloc's Jean-Guy Chretien who had represented the area since 1993. Mr. Binet, a former local major, now faces off against the Bloc's Marc Boulianne, an economics professor who served as an MLA in the Quebec legislature from 1998 to 2003. The riding is located in southeast Quebec along the Quebec-U.S. border, an area that is predominantly French and has supported both PC and Liberal candidates in the past. Mr. Binet is expected to face a tough challenge getting reelected against a popular Bloc candidate. The Conservatives are running Yves Mailly while the NDP candidate is Alexandre Cote.35. Riding: Outremont, Que.Incumbent: Not running (Liberal Martin Cauchon)First elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 46%Margin of victory: 7,645Outlook: Safe LiberalThis is normally a safe seat for the Liberals but the Grit candidate, former Bloc MP Jean Lapierre, has managed to stir controversy with his outspoken remarks about Quebec separation. Mr. Lapierre got to run here because former justice minister Martin Cauchon decided not to seek reelection. Mr. Lapierre has a controversial past as co-founder of the separatist Bloc, this after serving as a Liberal MP for Shefford from 1979 to 1990. He left the Bloc in 1992 and became a radio host. He is now the Liberal Party's lieutenant in Quebec, and a key adviser of Prime Minister Paul Martin.The Bloc has fielded the young Francois Rebello, a master's student at the University of Montreal. The Conservative candidate is Marc Rousseau, while the NDP's is Omar Aktouf, professor from Algeria. A controversial poll published by the weekly local newspaper Le Point d'Outremont on June 10 actually put the Bloc candidate ahead of Mr. Lapierre. The poll, conducted only within the borough of Outremont, showed Mr. Rebello had 42% and Mr. Lapierre 35%.36. Riding: Pontiac, Que.Incumbent: (Not running) Liberal Robert BertrandFirst elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 44%Margin of victory: 6,038Outlook: Leans LiberalThis riding in West Quebec lost a big chunk of its old riding to the north that has a history of voting Bloc. Still, the Liberal candidate, David Smith, is not considered a shoo-in as some Liberals got their noses bent out of shape when Mr. Smith defeated incumbent MP Robert Bertrand for the party's nomination.Mr. Bertrand was hoping to win a fourth term but was forced into retirement. In 2000, he defeated the Bloc candidate by over 6,000 votes. His Liberal successor, Mr. Smith, now faces off against Conservative candidate Judy Grant, a popular former local mayor who ran for the old Alliance Party in 2000 but lost badly. Still, the riding has a conservative streak to it, electing PC Barry Moore in 1984 and 1988. The Bloc candidate is Hubert Leduc, 62, a retired federal public servant with an impressive background in international affairs. The NDP is going with Gretchen Schwarz, an environmental activist who ran for the Green Party in 2000.37. Riding: Portneuf, Que.Incumbent: Liberal Claude DuplainFirst elected: 2000Percentage of vote in 2000; 39%Margin of victory: 2,433Outlook: At Risk for LiberalsThis Quebec City-area riding should be a hotly contested contest between Liberal incumbent Claude Duplain, who won his first term hereIn 2000 by nearly 2,500 votes, and the Bloc's Guy Cote. The riding elected former Bloc MP Pierre de Savoye twice, in 1993 and 1997. Before that, the riding went for the PC Party from 1984 to 1993.Mr. Duplain, 50, is a lowprofile MP. His main rival, Mr. Cote, a well-established Bloc member who is a riding executive and worked as an assistant for Mr. de Savoye. The Conservative candidate is Howard Bruce, while the NDP's is Jean-Francois Breton.38. Riding: Richmond-Arthabaska, Que.Incumbent: (Not running) PC Andre BachandFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 36%Margin of victory: 363Outlook: Leans BlocThis riding in southern Quebec emerged from the electoral redistribution process largely unchanged. It's about to get a new MP as incumbent Progressive Conservative Andre Bachand decided to retire. The lone Quebec MP from the now defunct PC caucus refused to join the new Conservative Party this year, along with other disgruntled colleagues such as former PC leader Joe Clark.In 2000, Mr. Bachand beat the Bloc candidate Andre Bellavance by only 363 votes. Mr. Bellavance, a former radio journalist and currently a Hill staffer for Bloc MP Pierre Paquette, is running again in 2004. He's up against the Liberal's Christine Saint-Pierre, a sales and marketing executive. The Conservative candidate is Pierre Poissant, an international businessman. The NDP candidate is Jason S. Noble, a 30-year-old municipal councillor.39. Riding: Riviere-du-Loup-Montmagny, Que.Incumbent: Bloc Paul CreteFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 58%Margin of victory: 11,525Outlook: Likely BlocThis new rural riding is in eastern Quebec has been substantially redrawn. The Bloc could be at risk, as the riding inherited a large portion of retiring Grit MP Gilbert Normand's riding of Bellechasse-Etchemins-Montmagny-L'Islet which the Liberals took handily in 2000. Insiders also predict that the young Liberal candidate, Isabelle Mignault, could surprise Bloc MP Paul Crete who won his seat with 58 per cent of the vote in 2000. Ms. Mignault, 29, is a former Hill staffer and has been working as a policy adviser for Quebec's minister of agriculture, fisheries and food. The Conservative candidate is Marc-Andre Drolet, and the NDP's is Frederick Garon.40. Riding: Saint-Maurice Champlain, Que.Incumbent: (Retired) Former Liberal PM Jean ChretienFirst elected: 1963Percentage of vote in 2000: 53%Margin of victory: 6,524Outlook: Leans BlocThis riding used to be represented by former prime minister Jean Chretien, and generated a great deal of controversy when Mr. Chretien's former staffer, Steven Hogue, was barred from running as a candidate so that the party could field a woman. The riding was redrawn substantially so that it now makes up about 75 per cent of Mr. Chretien's old riding and about 47 per cent of Bloc MP Marcel Gagnon's old riding of Champlain.Mr. Gagnon, his party's agriculture critic, won his seat in 2000 by only 15 votes with 43 per cent support. He's running here against 25-year-old Grit candidate Marie-Eve Bilodeau, a former staffer who used to work for Sen. Lucie Pepin. The Conservative candidate is Martial Toupin, and the NDP's is Pierre Allard.41. Riding: Shefford, Que.Incumbent: Liberal Diane St-JacquesFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 44%Margin of victory: 891Outlook: Leans BlocThis riding has supported the Bloc, PC Party and Liberals over the last decade. Incumbent Diane St-Jacques won as a Liberal here in 2000 by only 892 votes, after winning the riding as a PC candidate in 1997. She then crossed the floor to the Liberals in 2000. Back in 1993, the Bloc's Jean Leroux won and then lost his re-election bid to Ms. St. Jacques in 1997.With anger over the Liberals a dominate issue in Quebec, the riding is seen as ripe for the picking for the Bloc's candidate, Robert Vincent, a labour union representative. The Conservative candidate is Jacques Parenteau, an electrical engineer.42. Riding: Sherbrooke, Que.Incumbent: Bloc Serge CardinFirst elected: 1998Percentage of vote in 2000: 45%Margin of victory: 2,377Outlook: Likely BlocThe Liberals have high hopes of capturing this riding which has deep anglophone roots (though is now predominantly French-speaking) and is the home riding of provincial Liberal Premier Jean Charest. The party has a potential star candidate in Bruno-Marie Bechard, a gifted professor at the University of Sherbrooke who has an impressive background in the aeronautics industry. In 2001, at only 36, he became the youngest university president in North America.To win a seat, he'll have to upset Bloc MP Serge Cardin who has represented the riding since 1998 which he won in a byelection by only 220 votes after Mr. Charest resigned his seat in the House of Commons to become Quebec Liberal party leader. The NDP candidate is Phillipe Dion, a young student pursuing a degree at the University of Quebec in Montreal, while the Conservative candidate is Jacques Parenteau.Ontario43. Riding: Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough, Ont.Incumbent: (Not running) Tory John BrydenFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 41%Margin of Victory: 4,649 votesOutlook: Vulnerable/TossupLocated in southern Ontario, this riding has been redrawn and renamed in the most recent redistribution of electoral boundaries and has a mix of urban and rural communities. It's considered one of the least safe of five ridings in the Hamilton region for the Liberals. Incumbent MP John Bryden had represented this riding since 1993, but last year he decided to join the Conservative Party after a falling out with Prime Minister Paul Martin's supporters. However, he then lost the Conservative Party nomination to Conservative David Sweet.Mr. Sweet is former president and CEO of a religious-based organization called Promise Keepers Canada. The Liberal candidate is Hamilton councillor Russ Powers and NDP is represented by Gordon Guyatt a columnist with the Winnipeg Free Press and an online news service Straight Goods. In the 2000 election, Mr. Bryden won 19,921 votes (41%), while the combined PC-Alliance vote was 24,723 (52%).44. Riding: Beaches-East York, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Maria MinnaFirst elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 52%Margin of victory: 13,580Outlook: Leans LiberalThe population in this very urban riding is nearly 35% ethnic, with large Chinese and Italian communities. Liberal incumbent Maria Minna, a former Cabinet minister, won by a healthy margin in 1997, but some predict she may have trouble holding onto her seat for a fourth term.The NDP has a good track record in this area and has fielded high-profile former city councillor Peter Tabuns, who also served as deputy mayor of Toronto several times. A strong Kyoto advocate, Mr. Tabuns is now executive director of Greenpeace Canada. The Conservative candidate is Nick Nikopoulos, a published political writer with an impressive research and academic background who is currently enrolled in law at the University of London.45. Riding: Bramalea-Gore-Malton, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Gurbax MalhiFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 56%Margin of Victory: 14,703 votesOutlook: VulnerableThis riding has traditionally been a Liberal stronghold thanks, in part, to the support Liberal incumbent Gurbax Malhi has received from the large ethnic Indo-Canadian population. This time around, Mr. Malhi faces a serious challenge from Conservative candidate Raminder Gill an Indo-Canadian also vying for the same supporters. Mr. Gill represented this riding provincially from 1999 until 2003 as a PC MPP but was defeated in the last provincial election.The riding was rejigged and renamed as part of redistribution of electoral boundaries in 2004. It now consists of parts of the cities of Mississauga and Brampton. About 46% of residents of this ethnically diverse riding are immigrants. The NDP has chosen Fernando Miranda as their candidate.46. Riding: Brampton-Springdale, Ont.Incumbent: New RidingFirst Elected: N/APercentage of Vote in 2000: N/AMargin of Victory: N/AOutlook: TossupThis new riding is located in the Peel Region of Toronto. It consists of 77% of the riding of Brampton Centre and 17% of the riding of Brampton-Gore-Malton Springdale. The Liberals have appointed Ruby Dhalla, a chiropractor of Indo-Canadian origin as their candidate to the dismay of the local riding association executive who are now openly supporting NDP candidate Kathy Pounder.The appointment sidelined Andrew Kania who had been organizing for months to win the Liberal nomination. Mr. Kania chaired former deputy prime minister John Manley's Liberal leadership campaign in Ontario and accused Prime Minister Paul Martin's campaign team of playing favourites. Liberal incumbent Sarkis Assadourian was also appointed as a special adviser to the Prime Minister on Middle East and South Caucasus affairs.The Conservative Party has had its own share of problems in this riding. The party revoked Gurjit Grewal's nomination in April after learning he had faced an assault charge more than a decade ago. Shortly after the writ was dropped, the Conservatives replaced Mr. Grewal with Sam Hundal, a long-time resident of the riding.47. Riding: Brampton WestIncumbent: Liberal Colleen BeaumierFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 66%Margin of Victory: 23,375 votesOutlook: TossupTony Clement, the former Ontario health minister who also ran unsuccessfully for the leadership of the federal Conservative Party is facing off against Liberal Colleen Beaumier who has been re-elected from this area, three times in the riding of Brampton West-Mississauga.The riding of Brampton West-Mississauga recently has been rejigged and renamed as part of redistribution of electoral boundaries and is now called Brampton West.In the last Ontario provincial election, Mr. Clement ran unsuccessfully in this riding. So, if he loses in this election, his aspirations to be a major player in federal politics and in the federal Conservative Party will effectively come to an end.NDP candidate in the riding is Chris Moise.48. Riding: Cambridge, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Janko PericFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 46%Margin of Victory: 7,233 votesOutlook: VulnerableThis is another so-called safe seat for the Liberals that is now at risk. Prime Minister Paul Martin proved the point when he decided to spend some time here last week to help out his candidate, Liberal MP Janko Peric who is known as "a good constituency man." In the 2000 election, the total Conservative vote was 20,903 (44%) compared to Mr. Peric's 22,148 (47%). The Conservative candidate is Gary Goodyear, and the NDP is going with Gary Price.49. Riding: Carleton-Lanark, Ont.Incumbent: N/AFirst Elected: 2000Percentage of Vote in 2000: 38%Margin of Victory: 1,858votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeThis riding is considered a safe seat for the Conservatives who are represented by Gordon O'Connor. In last year's provincial election, it was one of the few seats the Ontario PCs were able to hold on to. The re-jigged riding is made up of 63% of the old riding of Conservative Scott Reid's Lanark-Carleton riding and 19% of Defence Minister David Pratt's old riding of Nepean-Carleton. The Liberal candidate is Dan Wicklum and the NDP's is Rick Prashaw. It will be interesting to see if Mr. O'Connor can manage to keep this as a Conservative riding.50. Riding: Davenport, Ont.Incumbent: (Not running)Liberal Charles CacciaFirst Elected: 1968Percentage of Vote in 2000: 66%Margin of Victory: 13,575votesOutlook: vulnerableFormer long-time Liberal MP Charles Caccia announced recently that he won't be running in this election. The 73-year-old MP's political career ended on a sour note as he publicly complained that Prime Minister Paul Martin's supporters got rid of him because he did not support Mr. Martin in the Liberal leadership campaign.It will be up to Mario Silva, a popular Toronto City councillor, to carry the day for the Liberals. The Conservatives have chosen Theresa Rodrigues as their candidate while the NDP is represented by Rui Pires. Liberal insiders say that NDP is expected to put up a feisty fight against Liberals.51. Riding: Don Valley East, Ont.Incumbent: (Not running)Liberal David CollenetteFirst elected: 1974Percentage of vote in 2000: 66%Margin of victory: 20,270Outlook: At Risk for LiberalsThe riding has the fifth largest immigrant population in Canada and is made up mostly of affluent renters. It barely changed under the new electoral map and will get a new MP now that longtime former Cabinet minister David Collenette is retiring. Mr. Collenette first won here in 1974, but was defeated twice by PC candidates, notably by former PC minister Alan Redway in 1984.The Liberal candidate is Yasmin Ratansi, who lost here back in 1988 against Mr. Redway. Ms. Ratansi is a certified general accountant and management consultant and joined the Ontario public sector in 1995. The Conservatives have fielded political heavyweight Dave Johnson who has 26 years of experience as an elected official. He served as mayor of East York and was part of former Ontario premier Mike Harris' Cabinet as chair of the provincial government's management board. The NDP candidate is Valerie Mah, a Toronto teacher for the past 30 years.52. Riding: Elgin-Middlesex-London, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal GarKnutsonFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 40%Margin of Victory: 1,706votesOutlook: TossupThe combined Alliance-PC vote was 10% more than what Liberal incumbent Gar Knutson managed in the last federal campaign, putting this riding at risk for the governing Grits. The low-profile Mr. Knutson is junior minister for new and emerging markets. The Conservative candidate is Joe Preston, a former executive with Wendy's Restaurants of Canada and owner of one of the franchises in the riding. The Conservatives are also optimistic about winning this riding. The NDP candidate is Tim McCallum.53. Riding: Etobicoke-Lakeshore, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Jean AugustineFirst elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 51%Margin of victory: 13,307Outlook: Leans LiberalThis riding west of Toronto boasts a large population of nearly 114,000 and is one of the few not affected by the new electoral map. It's been represented by Grit MP Jean Augustine - the first Black woman elected to Parliament and currently junior minister for multiculturalism - since 1993 though it has a PC and NDP past. Former PC MP Patrick Boyer won here in 1984 and 1988, and the NDP's Terry Grier won in 1972.Ms. Augustine is up against Conservative candidate John Capobianco, a longtime youth activist with the Ontario and federal PC Parties and now a vice president at Hill & Knowlton. The NDP is going with Margaret Ann McHugh, community activist focussing on families and women's health with work experience with the Ontario Ministry of Health as head of the Women's Health Bureau.54. Riding: Essex, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Susan WhelanFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 44%Margin of Victory: 4,505Outlook: VulnerableFormer international cooperation minister Susan Whelan has a tough fight on her hands to retain her seat in this mostly rural riding as the combined Tory-Alliance vote was more than hers in the last federal election. The Conservatives won a total of 22,450 votes (49%) while Ms. Whelan won 20,524 (44%).Ms. Whelan has represented this riding since 1993 while her father Eugene Whelan, a former federal Cabinet minister, represented this riding from 1968 to 1984. The NDP, represented by David Tremblay this time won this riding in 1984 and 1988.55. Riding: Etobicoke Centre, Alta.Incumbent: (Not running)Liberal Allan RockFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 56%Margin of Victory: 15,765votesOutlook: VulnerableIpsos-Reid pollster Darrell Bricker in an interview with CTV on Tuesday, June 1 predicted that Liberals are likely to lose this riding located in the west-end of Toronto to the Conservatives. Former industry minister Allan Rock represented this riding from 1993 until he was appointed Canada's ambassador to the United Nations in December.The riding is also home to 42% of the immigrant population and more than 10% of people living in this riding are of Italian origin. The Liberal candidate is Borys Wrzesnewkyi. The Conservatives are going with Lida Preyma and NDP has chosen John Richmond as their candidate.56. Riding: Grey-Bruce-Owen Sound, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Ovid JacksonFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 44%Margin of Victory: 3,862votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeLiberal Ovid Jackson is likely to face stiff competition in this large rural riding in southwest Ontario from Conservative candidate Larry Miller. The combined PC-Alliance vote in the 2000 election was 7% more than Mr. Jackson's share of the vote. Mr. Jackson won 19,817 votes (44%).57. Riding: Haldimand-Norfolk, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Bob Speller (Agriculture Minister)First elected: 1988Percentage of vote in 2000: 46%Margin of victory: 5,451Outlook: TossupLiberal MP Bob Speller won by 5,451 in 2000 in this farming community, but the combined PC and Alliance support surpassed his by about 1,000 votes. This puts new Agriculture and Agri-Food Minister Speller in possible trouble. The old PC Party held the riding from 1979 to 1988.The new Conservatives are going with Diane Finley, an MBA graduate who is fluently bilingual and was named "one of Canada's future leaders" by the Governor-General's Study Conference in 2000. She now runs a consulting firm specializing in strategy, information and communications. The NDP candidate is Carrie Sinkowski, a 27-year-old teacher and social activist.58. Riding: Halton, Ont.Incumbent: (Not running)Liberal Julian ReedFirst elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 47%Margin of victory: 12,512Outlook: At Risk for LiberalsThis riding west of Toronto has one of the fastest growing populations in Canada and boasts an average family income of $103,617 and unemployment as low as 3.5%. Grit MP Julian Reed is not seeking re-election, leaving it up to Gary Carr, the former Conservative Speaker of the Ontario Legislature, to carry the Liberal banner. The Conservative candidate is Dean Martin, a local businessman. The NDP candidate is Anwar Naqvi, a retired lawyer. The riding's northern boundaries were significantly altered in a way believed to benefit the Liberals.59. Riding: Hamilton CentreIncumbent: Liberal Stan Keyes (Revenue Minister)First Elected: 1988Percentage of Vote in 2000: 52%Margin of Victory: 13,980votesOutlook: Leans LiberalAlthough Hamilton area has been a Liberal stronghold for a long time, but this time things may change. Liberal infighting in the area exhibited signs of damage last month when Hamiltonians elected NDP candidate Andrea Horwath over Ralph Agostino in the byelection by more than 9,000 votes.Moreover, the Ontario provincial budget which levied new taxes also is likely to affect negatively on Liberal candidates across the province where voters are feeling betrayed because of Premier Dalton McGuinty broke his election pledge of not raising taxes.Minister of National Revenue and Minister of State (Sport) Stan Keyes may face an uphill battle in this election from Hamiltonians who may choose NDP candidate Dave Christopherson or Conservative candidate Leon O'Connor instead. Mr. Keyes' old riding of Hamilton West has been rejigged and renamed and is now called Hamilton Centre. In the riding of Hamilton West, Mr. Keyes had been elected and re-elected four times.60. Riding: Hamilton East-Stoney Creek, Ont.Incumbent: N/AFirst Elected: 1984Percentage of Vote in 2000: 52%Margin of Victory: 10,413votesOutlook: At Risk for LiberalsThis is a newly-drawn riding, but more than 50% comes from Transport Minister Tony Valeri's old riding of Stoney Creek. The other half is from Sheila Copps' old riding of Hamilton East. Mr. Valeri won the high-profile and nasty Liberal nomination in the riding with the help of Ontario Martinites and unseated former deputy prime minister and neritage minister Copps who represented one half of the riding of Hamilton East for nearly two decades. The divisive infighting has had a negative effect on the riding for Liberals.Meanwhile, the NDP last month won a provincial byelection by more than 9,000 votes which makes NDP candidate Tony DePaulo a formidable candidate to face off against Mr. Valeri. Fred Eisenberger is the Conservative candidate in the riding.61. Riding: Kenora, Ont.Incumbent: (Not running)Liberal Robert NaultFirst Elected: 1988Percentage of Vote in 2000: 45%Margin of Victory: 5,291votesOutlook: VulnerableFormer indian affairs minister Robert Nault won this northern Ontario riding four consecutive times. But he decided to retire after he was dropped from Cabinet by Prime Minister Paul Martin. The Liberal candidate is Roger Valley while the NDP, whose candidate is Susan Barclay, are believed to be very competitive. The Conservatives candidate is Bill Brown. The Globe and Mail reported last week that even Mr. Nault's brother "has an NDP sign."62. Riding: Kitchener-Conestoga, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Lynn MyersFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 43%Margin of Victory: 4,822votesOutlook: Vulnerable/TossupThis new southern Ontario riding includes both urban and rural areas. It consists of 62% of former riding of Waterloo-Wellington and portions of Kitchener Centre and Cambridge. It is a vulnerable riding for the Liberals as the combined PC-Alliance vote was more than the Liberal share in the 2000 election. Liberal Lynn Myers won 19,619 votes (44%) while the PC-Alliance vote was 22,796 (51%) vote.Recently the Conservative candidate, Frank Luellau, created a controversy at an all candidate meeting by saying that homosexuality is an "unnatural behaviour." He further added that homosexuals can "change their ways" with treatment. The NDP candidate is Len Carter.63. Riding: Kitchener-Waterloo, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal AndrewTelegdiFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 50%Margin of Victory: 14,724votesOutlook: Leans LiberalAlthough Liberal Andrew Telegdi won the last two elections quite comfortably, he is believed to be in danger of losing his seat due to voter anger with the Liberals over the sponsorship scandal and the McGuinty budget. On the bright side, the combined PC Alliance vote in this riding in the 2000 and 1997 was less than Mr. Telegdi's share. The Conservative candidate is Steven Strauss, while the NDP is going with Edwin Laryea.64. Riding: Leeds-GrenvilleIncumbent: Liberal JoeJordanFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 40%Margin of Victory: 55 votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeThis riding is also one of the most vulnerable ridings in the country, if not the most. Incumbent Joe Jordan, first elected in 1997, won the riding in the 2000 election with a margin of victory by only 55 votes. The combined PC-Alliance vote in the riding in 2000 was 56% as compared to Mr. Jordan's who won 40% of the vote. In the 1997 election as well, the combined vote of PC and Reform parties was 54% while Mr. Jordan secured 39% of the vote. Needless to say, Mr. Jordan is in danger of losing the riding this time around to the Conservatives.The Conservative Party candidate in this riding is Gordon Brown and Steve Armstrong is the NDP candidate.65. Riding: London West, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal SueBarnesFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 49%Margin of Victory: 13,632Outlook: VulnerableLiberal insiders say this is another riding they might lose because of the sponsorship scandal and McGuinty budget fallout. Liberal MP Sue Barnes is going for her fourth term and believed to be vulnerable even though she won by a healthy margin of over 13,600 votes in 2000. She is up against the Conservatives' Michael Menear, a lawyer, and the NDP's Gina Barber, a college teacher.66. Riding: Nepean-Carleton Incumbent: Liberal David Pratt (Defence Minister) First Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 41%Margin of Victory: 2,260 votesOutlook: Leans LiberalThis riding is considered to be vulnerable for the governing Liberals where the combined PC-Alliance vote in the last election was more than the Liberal vote. In the 2000 election, the combined PC-Alliance vote was 53%, while Mr. Pratt won 41% of votes.Defence Minister David Pratt, however, who once had an edge over Conservative candidate Pierre Poilievre, 25, a former executive assistant to Conservative MP Stockwell Day, because of his experience as chair of Commons' Defence Committee and his high-profile position as federal Defence Minister, now looks like he's in trouble. Mr. Poilivere is also putting up a feisty fight and is optimistic about his chances of winning this election.A poll released by the Holinshed Research Group, an Ottawa opinion research and consulting firm and carried by The Ottawa Citizen on Thursday, June 10 indicated support for the Conservatives in Nepean-Carleton was at 38% compared to 21% for the Liberals. The NDP and Green Party each had a support of 5% of the supporters and about 26% of participants in the survey said they are still undecided. Mr. Pratt has expressed grave doubts about this poll saying that Frank Hall the owner of the polling company has a strong affiliation with the Conservative Party. The NDP candidate in the riding is Phil Brown.67. Riding: Mississauga-Erindale, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Carolyn ParrishFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 63%Margin of Victory: 17,737 votesOutlook: vulnerableLiberal Carolyn Parrish won the Liberal nomination in this election by defeating former Liberal MP Steve Mahoney in a boisterous nomination meeting. They had to run against each other because of the redistribution of boundaries. The outspoken MP, who likened the Liberal campaign to a "comedy of errors," is up against Conservative candidate Bob Dechert who is a party strategist.The riding now has been redistributed and renamed. The 2001 census indicates that more than 44% of the residents are immigrants and a majority of them belong to East Indian and Chinese communities. The NDP candidate is Simon Black.68. Riding: Newmarket-Aurora, Ont.Incumbent: N/A (new riding)First Elected:N/APercentage of Vote in 2000:N/AMargin of Victory: N/AOutlook: LeansConservativeIt's a new riding. This riding will be closely watched by politicos due to Belinda Stronch's Conservative Party candidacy here.Ms. Stronach, who ran unsuccessfully in the last Conservative Party leadership campaign, is likely to defeat Liberal candidate Martha Findlay and NDP candidate NDP Ed Chudak due to her high-profile as a politician and as a successful businessperson. She created enormous interest in the last Conservative Party leadership campaign and also played a key role in the merger of Alliance and PC parties.69. Riding: Ottawa CentreIncumbent: Not running (Liberal Mac Harb)First Elected: 1988Percentage of Vote in 2000: 39%Margin of Victory: 9,195 votesOutlook: Leans NDPConventional wisdom in Ottawa is that NDP candidate Ed Broadbent is highly likely to win this riding against Liberal Richard Mahoney, a gregarious Ottawa lawyer and a top adviser to Prime Minister Paul Martin. This riding had been represented by Mac Harb since 1988 until he was appointed to the Senate last year by then prime minister Jean Chretien.Mr. Mahoney has been working hard in the campaign but admits publicly that he is now running as an underdog once Mr. Broadbent threw his hat into the ring. As a top strategist and adviser of Mr. Martin, Mr. Mahoney also has strong backing of Martin campaign machine and high-profile Liberals have travelled to Ottawa one after the other to campaign for Mr. Mahoney, including Frank McKenna. The Conservative candidate in the riding is Mike Murphy and the Green Party candidate is David Chernushenko.70. Riding: Ottawa-Orleans, Ont.Incumbent: (Not running) Liberal Eugene BellemareFirst Elected: 1988Percentage of Vote in 2000: 50%Margin of Victory: 13,319 votesOutlook: At Risk for LiberalsFormer Liberal MP Eugene Bellemare was first elected in the House in this riding in the 1988 general election. But in recent years, he had been invisible. Most recently, he was defeated by Liberal Marc Godbout for the Liberal nomination which makes this one of the few ridings across the country where incumbent MPs lost their nomination. Mr. Godbout will be running against Conservative Party star candidate and policy wonk Walter Robinson who is well-known for his work at national director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation.A poll of 407 constituents of Ottawa-Orleans conducted by Holinshed Research Group, an Ottawa opinion research and consulting firm and carried by The Ottawa Citizen last week showed that Conservatives had support of 35.3% of the constituents and Liberals had support of 28.8% of the constituents. NDP support in the survey was at 9.9% and 16.6% of those surveyed said that they are still undecided.The NDP candidate in the riding is Crystal LeBlanc.71. Riding: Ottawa SouthIncumbent: (Not running) Liberal John ManleyFirst Elected: 1988Percentage of Vote in 2000: 51%Margin of Victory: 13,908 votesOutlook: Leans LiberalThis riding is shaping up to be a tough battle between Liberal David McGuinty, brother of Ontario premier Dalton McGuinty, NDPer Monia Mazigh and Conservative Alan Riddell. This riding was represented by former deputy prime minister John Manley for the past 16 years, but Mr. Manley decided not to seek re-election along with a flood of other loyal Chretien Cabinet ministers. Up until last month, Mr. McGuinty was considered the odds-on favourite, but that was before his brother, Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty and his government released an unpopular budget.Meanwhile, Ms. Mazigh is expected to give Mr. McGuinty a run for his money because of her strong support in the Muslim and Arab community as well as because of the respect she has earned from Canadians at large for the successful campaign she ran to free her Syrian-born Canadian husband, Maher Arar, from the Syrian prison.According to supporters of Conservative candidate Alan Riddell, he is working hard and expected to put up a solid fight because of the "momentum of the Conservative Party."72. Riding: Parry Sound Muskoka, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Andy MitchellFirst elected: 1993Percentage of vote in 2000: 47%Margin of victory: 8,342 votesOutlook: At Risk for Liberals.Incumbent MP Andy Mitchell got a considerable boost when he was made Indian Affairs Minister by Prime Minister Paul Martin. Though he won by a healthy margin of over 8,340 votes in 2000, Mr. Mitchell if facing a stiff challenge from Conservative candidate Keith Montgomery, a former real estate broker who has been heavily involved in PC politics for 30 years.Before Mr. Mitchell won his first term in 1993, the old PC Party represented the riding since 1957. Voter frustrations with the Liberals coupled with a unified Conservative Party could spell trouble for Mr. Mitchell here. The NDP candidate is Jo-Anne Marie Boulding, a high-profile lawyer and executive director of a local legal clinic who was named "Muskoka Woman of the Year" in 1998.73. Riding: Perth-Wellington, Ont.Incumbent: Tory Gary SchellenbergerFirst Elected: 2003Percentage of Vote in 2000: N/AMargin of Victory (in 2003): 3,485 votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeConservative incumbent Gary Schellenberger is expected to get re-elected in this riding. He was first elected in a byelection only last year after Liberal MP John Richardson resigned because of health reasons. The Liberal candidate is Brian Innes, who is the brother-in-law of long-time Liberal MP Tony Ianno.This will be a rematch for Mr. Schellenberger and Mr. Innes who faced off against each other in the 2003 byelection. Mr. Schellenberger defeated his Liberal rival by 1,001 votes in Perth-Middlesex, though that contest also featured an Alliance candidate who took in 5,400 votes. The NDP candidate is Robert Roth.74. Riding: St. Catharines, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal MP Walt LastewkaFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 44%Margin of Victory: 5,121 votesOutlook: Leans LiberalThis riding will also be a test of theory behind the merger of the Alliance and PC parties that with the combined vote, the Conservatives can win more seats in the House of Commons. The combined PC-Alliance vote in 2000 was 22,393 or 48% which was more than Liberal MP Walt Lastewka's vote. Mr. Lastewka in the last election won 5,121 or 44% votes. Mr. Lastewka has represented this riding since 1993. Conservative candidate in the riding is Leo Bonomi while NDP candidate in the riding is Ted Mouradian. The speculation is that this riding will go to the Conservatives.75. Riding: Toronto-DanforthIncumbent: Liberal Dennis MillsFirst Elected: 1988Percentage Vote in 2000: 52%Margin of Victory: 9,500 votesOutlook: Leans NDPThis is high-stakes stuff. For NDP leader Jack Layton, winning the election in this riding will be of critical importance because if he loses, his own leadership of the party will be in jeopardy. Mr. Layton is running against popular and veteran Liberal incumbent Dennis Mills, Green Party Leader Jim Harris and Conservative Loftus Cuddy. This riding is one of the most exciting to watch in the country.Before the writ was dropped, Mr. Layton was the only leader in the House of Commons who was not an MP. Mr. Layton run unsuccessfully against Dennis Mills in 1997.After winning the NDP nomination, Mr. Layton has aggressively campaigned in the riding and according to NDP and Liberal insiders, the situation looks favourable for Mr. Layton but at the same time say it's "a nail-biter" as Mr. Mills is also well-known for making "impossible things possible" in politics.76. Riding: Trinity Spadina, Ont.Incumbent: Liberal Tony IannoFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 48%Margin of Victory: 4,031 votesOutlook: At Risk for LiberalsThis is expected to be a real dogfight between Liberal MP Tony Ianno and high-profile Toronto city councillor Olivia Chow who is the wife of NDP leader Jack Layton. Ms. Chow is running as the NDP candidate. In the 2000 general election, NDP candidate Michael Valpy won 16,001 or 38% of the vote against Mr. Ianno who won 20,032 or 48% of the vote. Ms. Chow ran unsuccessfully against Mr. Ianno in the 1997 general election when she lost by 4% of the vote. Mr. Ianno in that election won 45% of vote while Ms. Chow won 16,413 or 41 per cent of vote. It's a dramatic race.Manitoba77. Riding: Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia, Man.Incumbent: (Not running) John HarvardFirst Elected: 1988Percentage of Vote in 2000: 36%Margin of Victory:2,332 votesOutlook: TossupLiberals have recruited former and popular Winnipeg mayor Glen Murray as a "star" candidate to run against Conservative Stephen Fletcher and NDPer Peter Carney in this riding.Former Liberal MP John Harvard, who represented the riding since 1988, resigned to vacate the seat for Mr. Murray after he was named lieutenant governor of Manitoba by Prime Minister Paul Martin. Mr. Murray, a former card-carrying member of the NDP, is expected to face stiff competition from Conservatives because the combined PC-Alliance vote in the 2000 election was 20% more than Mr. Harvard's.78. Riding: Winnipeg North, Man.Incumbent: NDP Judy Wasylycia-LeisFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 57%Margin of Victory: 7,601 votesOutlook: TossupThis riding is shaping up as another exciting nail-biter between two-term NDP MP Judy Wasylycia-Leis and Minister of Western Economic Diversification Rey Pagtakhan. Mr. Pagtakhan and Ms. Wasylycia-Leis had to run against each other because the riding was redrawn and renamed. Previously, it was called Winnipeg North Centre.Both Manitoba high-profile politicians ran against each other in the 1993 election as well. When Mr. Pagtakhan won 19% more votes than Ms. Wasylycia-Leis. The Conservative candidate is Kris StevensonSaskatchewan79. Riding: Palliser, Sask.Incumbent: NDP Dick ProctorFirst elected: 1997Percentage of vote in 2000: 38%Margin of victory: 209Outlook: At Risk for NDPThe riding in southern Saskatchewan was created in 1997 and has been represented by NDP incumbent Dick Proctor since then. The former journalist won in 1997 by less than 3,000 votes against the then Reform candidate, and then nearly lost his seat in 2000 when he defeated the then Alliance candidate by just 209 votes. This time around, the NDP's labour and agriculture critic is up against Conservative candidate David Batters, a 34-year-old Pfizer pharmaceutical representative. The Liberal candidate is John Williams, a lawyer who has been active in the province's legal community.80. Riding: Regina-Qu'Appelle, Sask.Incumbent: NDP MP Lorne NystromFirst Elected: 1968Percentage of Vote in 2000: 41%Margin of Victory: 164 votesOutlook: TossupAllyce Herle, sister of top Liberal campaign co-chair David Herle, is challenging veteran NDP MP Lorne Nystrom. Mr. Nystrom won by only 164 votes in the last election against Alliance candidate Don Leier. Mr. Nystrom was defeated in 1993, but re-elected in 1997. The Liberal candidate in the last election won only 18 per cent or by 5,106 votes. In this election Andrew Scheer, a former Hill staffer is the Conservative Party's candidate and is expected to put up a feisty fight. It remains to be seen whether Mr. Nystrom can keep his seat against the forces of Conservative Party and the sister of Liberal campaign co-chair.81. Riding: Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar, Sask.Incumbent: Conservative Carol SkeltonFirst Elected: 2000Percentage of Vote in 2000: 42%Margin of Victory: 68 votesOutlook: TossupThis race is expected to shape up as a real nail-biter between Conservative candidate and incumbent MP Carol Skelton and NDP candidate Dennis Gruending, a former MP who actually represented the riding from 1999-2000.In the 2000 election, Mr. Gruending lost to Ms. Skelton by 68 votes while in the 1999 byelection, Mr. Gruending won 41 per cent of votes and Reform candidate won 28 per cent votes. Mr. Gruending is also a former Hill staffer who worked as a political assistant to NDP MP Dick Proctor in the past. The Liberal candidates in the past three elections won third place and this time, Myron Luczka is the Liberal candidate.82. Riding: Saskatoon-Wanuskewin, Sask.Incumbent: ConservativeMaurice VellacottFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 53%Margin of Victory: 9,382 votesOutlook: TossupConservative MP Maurice Vellacott will have a fight on his hands against former NDP MP and former NDP Saskarchewan Cabinet minister Chris Axworthy. Mr.Axworthy recently defected to the federal Liberals and returned to politics from retirement. Mr.Vellacott won comfortably in the last election against second place NDP candidate Hugh Walker by more than 9,000 votes.This time, it remains to be seen if Mr.Vellacott can get himself reelected again. The NDP candidate in the riding is Priscilla Settee.83. Riding: Wascana, Sask.Incumbent: Liberal Ralph Goodale (Finance Minister)First Elected: 1974 in Assiniboia, Sask.Percentage of Vote in 2000: 41%Margin of Victory: 1,752 votesOutlook: Leans LiberalFinance Minister Ralph Goodale is running against Doug Cryer, legislative assistant to Conservative MP Roy Bailey and NDP candidate Erin Weir.Mr. Goodale won the 2000 election by 1,752 votes but it remains to be seen if the PC-Alliance combined vote poses any challenge to Mr. Goodale. In the last election, Mr. Goodale won 14,244 votes, or 41% of the vote, while the Alliance candidate won 12,492, or 36% of the vote, and the NDP candidate won 7,446 votes, or 22 per cent, of the vote. There was also a minor candidate who won one per cent of the vote. Mr. Goodale, one of the top Cabinet ministers in Prime Minister Paul Martin's government and regarded as pretty "squeaky clean," is also campaigning across the province for other Liberal candidates.ALBERTA84. Riding: Calgary South Centre, Alta.Incumbent: (Not Running) PC Joe ClarkFirst Elected: 1972Percentage of Vote in 2000: 45%Margin of Victory: 4,304 votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeThis is a new riding. It's one of the two new ridings that Alberta received as a result of redistribution of electoral boundaries. This riding has been created by dividing the riding of Calgary Centre into two, a riding currently represented by former Tory leader Joe Clark. Mr. Clark is not seeking re-election. Former PC MP Lee Richardson is running under the new Conservative Party banner here against Liberal Julia Turnbull and NDPer Keith Purdy.Mr. Richardson was first elected to the House in 1988 but lost the 1993 election when the Brian Mulroney Progressive Conservatives were wiped off the political map.85. Riding: Edmonton Centre, Alta.Incumbent: Liberal Anne McLellan (Deputy Prime Minister)First Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 44%Margin of Victory: 733 votesOutlook: At Risk for LiberalsDeputy Prime Minister and Minister of Public Safety Anne McLellan, who was first elected to the House of Commons in the 1993 general election, has been nicknamed "Landslide Annie" because of her slim margins of victory in the last three elections. After the merger of the Alliance and the PC, the new Conservatives are highly likely to increase the number of seats in the current election and it's one of the highest profile ridings at risk for Liberals. The combined Alliance Conservative vote in the last election was 24,254 or 49% of the vote as compared to Ms. McLellan who won 21978 or 44 per cent of votes in the election.Laurie Hawn, a former CF-18 pilot, is the Conservative Party candidate in the riding who served for 30 years in the Canadian Air Force as a fighter pilot. He started his campaign last summer. The NDP candidate in the riding is Meghan McMaster.86. Riding: Edmonton East, Alta.Incumbent: Tory Peter GoldringFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 42%Margin of Victory: 3,445 votesOutlook: Leans ConservativePrime Minister Paul Martin appointed John Bethel, son of former Liberal MP Judy Bethel as the Liberal candidate in the riding to the dismay of many local Liberals who protested vainly before the election was called. The appointment sidelined Sine Chadi, a wealthy businessman who had planned to run for the Liberal nomination. Mr. Bethel is now running against Conservative incumbent Peter Goldring who is expected to win a third term.87. Riding: Edmonton-Beaumont, Alta.Incumbent: Liberal David KilgourFirst Elected: 1979Percentage of Vote in 2000: 50%Margin of Victory: 4,717 votesOutlook: Leans LiberalAside from Deputy Prime Minister Anne McLellan, Liberal incumbent David Kilgour is the only other Grit MP in Alberta and is being seriously challenged in this riding by Conservative candidate Tim Uppal. Mr. Kilgour was first elected in 1979 as Progressive Conservative MP but was expelled from the caucus in 1990 after voting against the GST. A few months after his expulsion from the PC caucus, he joined the Liberal caucus. One of the secrets of his success according to Liberals is that he is a "very good constituency MP." In the 2000 general election, the combined Alliance and PC votes were less than Mr. Kilgour's. The NDP candidate in the riding is Paul Reikie.88. Riding: Edmonton-Strathcona, Alta.Incumbent: Tory Rahim JafferFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 41%Margin of Victory: 5,647 votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeAlthough a solid Conservative region, NDP candidate Malcolm Azania is putting up a feisty fight against incumbent Rahim Jaffer but lost momentum recently after it was discovered that he wrote an anti Semitic article 10 years ago These comments were not only condemned by Jewish groups but also by the NDP leadership for which Mr. Azania has apologized publicly.According to supporters of Mr. Azania, he still has a strong chance of winning this riding but it remains to be seen if an NDPer could win a seat in the Conservative heartland. The Liberal candidate in the riding is Debby Carlson who is a chartered accountant by training and operates a small business.BRITISH COLUMBIA89. Riding: Burnaby-DouglasIncumbent: Not Running(NDP Svend Robinson)First Elected: 1979Percentage of Vote in 2000: 37%Margin of Victory: 1,961 votesOutlook: TossupThis riding is long known nationally for its representation by outspoken NDP MP Svend Robinson who was first elected in 1979 and re-elected for the last 25 years. In April, Mr. Robinson, shocked the country when he admitted he stole an expensive ring at an auction. He said he had snapped. He took medical leave and decided not to run again.His long-time assistant Bill Siksay is running for NDP. It's an exciting race. Mr. Siksay will be facing off against Liberal candidate Bill Cunningham, the powerful president of Liberal Party of Canada in British Columbia, and Conservative candidate George Dazenovic.Prime Minister Paul Martin appointed Mr. Cunningham as the Liberal candidate against the wishes of Liberal riding association who staged a high-profile nationally televised protest before the appointment was made. The Liberal Party may face a backlash from the local Liberals but insiders say that Mr. Cunningham is "doing better than expected" and may pull off a surprise.Mr. Dazenovic may prove to be a danger to this NDP stronghold as in the last election the combined PC-Alliance vote was 57 per cent against the NDP vote which was 37 per cent and the Alliance candidate alone won 33 per cent vote. The Liberal candidate placed third with 10,774 votes.90. Riding: Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca, B.C.Incumbent: Liberal Keith MartinFirst Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 50%Margin of Victory: 12,446 votesOutlook: TossupFormer Alliance MP and unsuccessful Alliance leadership candidate Keith Martin switched his political allegiance to the Liberals before the election. Mr. Martin won the last two elections handily over Liberal candidates. But now that he's a Liberal candidate, it remains to be seen how he will perform in the next election against the Conservative candidate. The combined Alliance and PC vote in the 2000 election was 27,839 or 58 per cent of vote. The Liberal candidate came in second with 11,539 votes and NDP placed third with 6,482 votes.Mr. Martin is up against Conservative John Koury and NDP candidate Randall Garrison.91. Riding: Fleetwood-Port Kells, B.C.Incumbent: New RidingFirst Elected: N/APercentage of Vote in 2000: N/AMargin of Victory: N/AOutlook: Leans ConservativeThis is a new riding and two candidates with Indo-Canadian background are running against each other. Conservative Nina Grewal, wife of Conservative MP Gurmant Grewal, is taking on Liberal Gulzar Cheema, a former B.C. Cabinet minister who resigned his seat to run. Mr. Grewal is also seeking reelection in a neighbouring riding. The NDP has chosen Barry Bell as their candidate.Mr. Cheema is facing an uphill battle in this traditionally Liberal riding. Ms. Grewal and Mr. Grewal could be the first husband and wife to be elected to the House (NDP leader Jack Layton and his wife Olivia Chow are attempting the same feat this election).92. Riding: Newton-North Delta, B.C.Incumbent: Tory Gurmant GrewalFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 51%Margin of Victory: 10,225 votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeConservative Gurmant Grewal is likely to win this rejigged riding although he's facing a stiff challenge from Liberal Sukh Dhaliwal and his many supporters. Both candidates have an Indo-Canadian background.Mr. Dhaliwal (no relation to former natural resources minister Herb Dhaliwal) won the Liberal nomination by defeating Bal Sandhu, the powerful nomination chair of Liberal Party of Canada in British Columbia. Both supported Prime Minister Paul Martin in the Liberal leadership campaign. The NDP has chosen Nancy Clegg as their candidate.93. Riding: Richmond, B.C.Incumbent: Not running(Liberal Joe Peschisolido)First Elected: 2000Percentage of Vote in 2000: 44%Margin of Victory: 1,124 votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeFormer Liberal Cabinet minister Raymond Chan, who is running under the Liberal banner, defeated Joe Peschisolido -- a former Alliance MP who crossed the floor to the Liberals -- in a boisterous nomination meeting before the election. Mr. Chan was also a Liberal candidate in the 2000 election when Mr. Peschisolido won the Alliance candidate.The Conservative candidate in the riding is Alice Wong while Dale Jackaman is the NDP candidate.Mr. Chan may find it difficult to win this as he was defeated by the Alliance candidate last time and with the merger of two parties, the number of votes for the Conservative candidate may further increase.94. Riding: Saanich-Gulf Islands, B.C.Incumbent: Conservative Gary LunnFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 43%Margin of Victory: 6,390 votesOutlook: Leans ConservativeThe riding is an interesting one to watch because the Green Party candidate has made significant headway here. The Greens are at 6% nationally in Ipsos Reid public opinion polls and the party is running candidates in all 308 ridings across the country. In British Columbia, the Greens have the support of 12%.In the 2001 provincial election, provincial Green Party candidate Andrew Lewis won 7,211 or 25.4 per cent of the vote in the same riding. He's the federal candidate.Incumbent Gary Lunn, has won the riding for the Alliance in the last two general elections easily, but it will be interesting to see if Mr. Lewis is able to put up a decent fight against Mr. Lunn, who is now a new Conservative Party candidate. Liberal David Mulroney and NDP candidate Jennifer Burgis are also running here.95. Riding: Surrey North, B.C.Incumbent: Ind. Chuck CadmanFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 55%Margin of Victory: 9,694 votesOutlook: Leans IndependentChuck Cadman has represented this riding since 1997, first as a Reform MP and in 2000 as an Alliance MP. He's running as an Independent this time around because he lost the Conservative nomination to political neophyte Jasbir Cheema. Mr. Cadman is believed to be the favourite, though the right-wing vote might be split between himself and Mr. Cheema, allowing the Liberal's Dan David Sheel to come up the middle and win. The NDP candidate is Jim Karpoff.96. Riding: Vancouver East, B.C.Incumbent: NDP Libby DaviesFirst Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 41%Margin of Victory: 3,387 votesOutlook: Leans NDPNDPer Libby Davies is likely to win this riding although Liberals have recruited a high-profile community activist and civil servant in Shirley Chan who won the Liberal nomination unopposed. According to the 2001 census, the riding population is 107,421 out of which 44% are immigrants. About 29% of residents are of Chinese origin, and 46% listed English as their first language in the census.Ms. Chan is a onetime chief of staff to former Vancouver Mayor Mike Harcourt and also served on the boards of B.C. Hydro and the University of British Columbia and currently is on leave from a senior position in Health Canada for the B.C./Yukon region. The Conservative candidate is Harvey Grigg.97. Riding: Vancouver Kingsway, B.C.Incumbent: Not running(Liberal Sophia Leung)First Elected: 1997Percentage of Vote in 2000: 42%Margin of Victory: 5,042 seatsOutlook: VulnerableThis riding features a tough battle between former NDP provincial Cabinet minister and federal NDP MP Ian Waddell and Liberal David Emerson. The Conservative nomination was won by Jesse Johl, a young political neophyte who hopes to take advantage of the Conservative rise in the polls and the strong showing of the old Reform and Alliance parties in the province.Mr. Emerson is a former deputy minister in the B.C. government and most recently was president and CEO of Canfor Corporation, B.C.'s largest forestry company. He is also a member of B.C. "dream team" recruited by Prime Minster Paul Martin.98. Riding: Vancouver SouthIncumbent: Not Running(Liberal Herb Dhaliwal)First Elected: 1993Percentage of Vote in 2000: 42%Margin of Victory: 2,321 votesOutlook: Tossup/VulnerableThis riding is expected to play a critical role in the political career of Liberal star candidate Ujjal Dosanjh, the former NDP premier of the province who was recruited by the Liberal Party. Many in B.C. and members of the East Indian community were disappointed with Mr. Dosanjh for switching parties which may prove to be detrimental for him in the election. But if he wins the election and Liberal Party comes back to power, he is likely to receive a senior Cabinet portfolio.Mr. Dosanjh is up against Conservative candidate Victor Soo Chan and NDP candidate Bev Meslo.This riding which in the past was known as Vancouver South-Burnaby was represented by former natural resources minister Herb Dhaliwal who is not seeking re-election this time. This riding has recently been rejigged and renamed as part of redistribution of electoral boundaries.99. Riding: Victoria, B.C.Incumbent: Liberal David Anderson (Environment Minister)First Elected: 1968Percentage of Vote in 2000: 42%Margin of Victory: 7,228 votesOutlook: VulnerableEnvironment Minister David Anderson is said to be at risk of losing his bid for a fourth consecutive victory in this riding. In newspaper interviews, Mr. Anderson has admitted that he may lose his seat. The Conservative candidate is Logan Wenham and NDP's is David Turner. The Green Party candidate Ariel Lade is also boasting of a respectable showing.Mr. Anderson, 66, was first elected to the House of Commons in 1968 but he switched to the provincial politics from 1972-1976 and served in the provincial legislature and as provincial party leader at the same time. In the 1979 election, Mr. Anderson ran unsuccessfully federally but was elected again in 1993 and so far has won three consecutive elections since that time. In the 2000 election, combined PC Alliance vote was less than Mr. Anderson's vote.YUKON100. Riding: YukonIncumbent: Liberal Larry BagnellFirst Elected: 2000Percentage of Vote in 2000: 32%Margin of Victory: 70 votesOutlook: Vulnerable/TossupLibs are in danger of losing this riding. Mr. Bagnell won the last election by mere 70 votes. Prior to the 2000 general election, the riding was held by the NDP in the 1988, 1993 and 1997 election. Former NDP leader Audrey McLaughlin won the riding in 1988 and 1993 and in 1997, Louise Hardy won for the NPD. This time NDP candidate is Pam Boyde who may emerge as the winner.