The question is no longer when, but how big. According to Radio-Shuffle FM, Prime Minister Jean ChrÃ©tien is going to shuffle his cabinet either this week or next so ministers will be in their new roles by the time the House reconvenes on Jan. 28, Liberal sources say. The Prime Minister seems to be favouring a big shuffle but the problem is, as Mr. ChrÃ©tien (Saint-Maurice, Que.) is saying to his advisers, "nobody wants to leave." Among that group is Deputy Prime Minister Herb Gray (Windsor West, Ont.), Minister of Transport David Collenette (Don Valley East, Ont.) and Minister of Public Works Alfonso Gagliano (Saint-LÃ©onard-Saint-Michel, Que.). "Those are people very close to the Prime Minister," a Liberal strategist told The Hill Times, "and, if they do not want to go, it is not going to be Mr. ChrÃ©tien to push them out." While this might be true for Mr. Collenette and Mr. Gray, Mr. Gagliano seems to be on shakier ground lately. His outbursts in The Globe and Mail story a few weeks ago when he accused some of his cabinet colleagues of undermining his position is a clear indication that the Quebec minister doesn't have many friends in the Prime Minister's Office any longer. "Definitely the PMO is not pleased with Mr. Gagliano's accusations," a Liberal insider told The Hill Times. "To be blunt, I can say that they are fuming." Mr. Gagliano, on the other hand, is convinced that this is the time for him to defend his position and he has served notice that he is not going to go quietly. Liberal sources say Mr. Gray will celebrate his 40th anniversary in politics this spring as Deputy Prime Minister and that Mr. Collenette will still have the option of accepting the post as Canada's high commissioner in London. Mr. Gagliano's political future, however, is unclear and hanging in the balance. Considering that the major portfolios will not be involved in the shuffle -- even Allan Rock (Etobicoke Centre, Ont.) has told the Prime Minister he is happy to stay as Minister of Health -- the attention of the Prime Minister has to be directed to a second tier of ministers. A minister that seems to be on the way out is Hedy Fry (Vancouver Centre, B.C.), who is responsible for multiculturalism, and there are some question marks now on the political future of Maria Minna (Beaches-East York, Ont.), minister responsible for International Cooperation, who most recently got into trouble when she voted in a municipal election in an area where her office is located. She doesn't reside in the area. Even Ms. Minna, however, is not going quietly for many reasons. Firstly, she is revamping a department that's not easy to manage, secondly she's convinced that she has done nothing wrong and seems to have "solid evidence" to prove it. She has already sent two letters to The Toronto Star --letters that the paper has so far not published-- asking for a retraction related to an interview published a few week ago. Ms. Minna declined to talk to The Hill Times about the issue, but did say, "I want to say very clearly: I never spoke to the journalist of The Toronto Star and I never voted twice." Ms. Minna said all other issues will be clarified in due course through the "proper channels." Ms. Minna is highly respected not only within the Italian-Canadian community, but also within minority groups for her more than 20 years of involvement with social organizations. So, it's not clear who is going to be out. It's definitely an easier job to identify those who want in, however. "Basically, all Liberal MPs who are not in government," said an insider, "but if you want to see who is more confident than others, just check the MPs who are in Ottawa these days instead of being in their riding." The names being tossed around with a certain insistence most recently are: Karen Redman (Kitchener Centre, Ont.), Steve Mahoney (Mississauga West, Ont.), John McCallum (Markham, Ont.) and Judy Sgro (York West, Ont.). Despite all those rumours, there are still some who are asking the following questions: Why does the Prime Minister need a shuffle? If he's staying, he has time to make changes, and if he is going, why does he have to upset some loyalists? Some are saying that Mr. ChrÃ©tien feels he no longer has any debts to any of his loyalists after rewarding them with more then six years in cabinet. It might be time to help others who were also instrumental to his victory in 1990. Others are simply wondering if Mr. ChrÃ©tien is only trying to shuffle a cabinet that Finance Minister Paul Martin (LaSalle-Ã‰mard, Que.), considered his successor, will have some difficulty to dismantle. In other words, Mr. ChrÃ©tien is shuffling a Paul Martin government.