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Election

Top 33 ‘safest seats’ in Canada won by Conservatives in 2019, with top 13 winning by a 70 per cent margin or more

By Mike Lapointe      

Prime Minister and Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau won his seat in Papineau, Que., with just under 32 per cent of a margin, a riding that he’s held since he first ran for politics in 2008, when he narrowly defeated Bloc Québécois incumbent Vivian Barbot.

Conservative incumbents Damien Kurek, left, Shannon Stubbs, and Martin Shields. The three Conservative incumbents, who are running for re-election, won their ridings by the largest margins in the 2019 election, and are hoping to repeat that success in 2021. Photographs courtesy of Twitter, The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

There were 109 candidates who won their seats in Parliament with at least a 25-per-cent-plus margin of victory in the 2019 election, or just under one-third of the House of Commons. And after crunching the numbers, The Hill Times found that all of the top 33 safest seats in Canada were won by a Conservative candidate, with the top 13 winning with a 70 per cent margin or more.

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AFN’s call for Indigenous voters to be election ‘kingmakers’ challenged by lack of voter enthusiasm, say chiefs and politicos

News|By Matt Horwood
First Nations electors have the political power to flip several ridings, but turnout among Indigenous voters is traditionally much lower than it is for the average population.

Rising support for far-right People’s Party unlikely to trouble Tories, say strategists and experts, as O’Toole makes a pitch for the centre

News|By Neil Moss
Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole has tried to recruit support from the centre, but it may have left the party vulnerable to a challenge on its right flank.

Green Party targets Prince Edward Island seats in rare campaign trip by leader Annamie Paul

News|By Matt Horwood
The provincial Greens' rise to become the official opposition in 2019 signals that P.E.I. voters are tired of 'politics as usual,' says one prof, which could translate into increased support for the Greens at the federal

Youth turnout may be stronger than expected this year and the NDP are reaching them the best: politicos

News|By Alice Chen
The Liberals have a conflicting track record, the Conservatives are sticking mostly to their older base, and the Greens are failing to capitalize on their opportunities, say experts and candidates.

Northern races heat up as candidates vie to succeed Qaqqaq, Bagnell

News|By Alice Chen
Experts say that left-leaning parties seem to have a foothold in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, but Yukon could be anyone’s game.

International students struggle to come to Canada amid COVID-19 variant concerns, says Universities Canada president

News|By
The number of international students may rise this year compared to 2020, but travel restrictions related to COVID-19 variants may be a roadblock, according to Paul Davidson, the president of Universities Canada.

Trades worker shortage getting worse as politicians promise more construction

More than 700,000 skilled tradespeople will retire by 2028, and Canada's efforts to replace them are falling short, warns a new report from the Royal Bank of Canada.

Cabinet record could help or hinder at-risk ministers in Quebec, Ontario

News|By Neil Moss
Former NDP staffer Cameron Holmstrom says some ministers have found themselves in unexpected re-election fights.

The race for Parliament Hill: Liberals, NDP jockey to fill void left in Ottawa Centre

The 40-year tug of war for this uniquely politically engaged riding had a flame lit under it following the withdrawal of incumbent minister Catherine McKenna from political life.
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