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Election 2021

Election#44 ‘most interesting, complex, unpredictable’ campaign in decades

By Christopher Guly       

•In June, most polls indicated the Liberals on track to repeat their 2015 majority win under Justin Trudeau’s leadership. Now they're behind the Conservatives. With such a tight margin, either party could form a minority government. •The pandemic has laid bare 'fault lines' in which increasingly polarized views have emerged on issues, such as 'heightened attention to inequality at the very top; greater interest in climate change; a better balance between society and the economy; and social justice issues like systemic racism and Indigenous reconciliation.'

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, pictured Sept. 9, 2021, arriving at the English-language leaders' debate in Gatineau, Que. 'What we have in 2021 is a government that thought it would steamroll the opposition parties with a double-digit lead and 170 seats in the bag; a victory lap on the pandemic; and economic confidence was on the uptick. All of those assumptions the Liberals had for calling an election have been knocked out from underneath them,' says pollster Nik Nanos. The Hill Times photograph by Sam Garcia

More than halfway to the finish line of the 44th federal election, Canadian voters ponder their ballot choices. Their decision will be set against the backdrop of an unprecedented pandemic-tinged campaign; angry and violent attacks against the incumbent prime minister—which last week prompted London, Ont., police to launch an investigation after Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau, his RCMP protective detail and reporters were struck by gravel—and a reversal of fortune over the summer for the governing Liberals hoping to secure a third mandate with a majority.

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AFN’s call for Indigenous voters to be election ‘kingmakers’ challenged by lack of voter enthusiasm, say chiefs and politicos

News|By Matt Horwood
First Nations electors have the political power to flip several ridings, but turnout among Indigenous voters is traditionally much lower than it is for the average population.

Rising support for far-right People’s Party unlikely to trouble Tories, say strategists and experts, as O’Toole makes a pitch for the centre

News|By Neil Moss
Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole has tried to recruit support from the centre, but it may have left the party vulnerable to a challenge on its right flank.

Green Party targets Prince Edward Island seats in rare campaign trip by leader Annamie Paul

News|By Matt Horwood
The provincial Greens' rise to become the official opposition in 2019 signals that P.E.I. voters are tired of 'politics as usual,' says one prof, which could translate into increased support for the Greens at the federal

Youth turnout may be stronger than expected this year and the NDP are reaching them the best: politicos

News|By Alice Chen
The Liberals have a conflicting track record, the Conservatives are sticking mostly to their older base, and the Greens are failing to capitalize on their opportunities, say experts and candidates.

Northern races heat up as candidates vie to succeed Qaqqaq, Bagnell

News|By Alice Chen
Experts say that left-leaning parties seem to have a foothold in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, but Yukon could be anyone’s game.

International students struggle to come to Canada amid COVID-19 variant concerns, says Universities Canada president

The number of international students may rise this year compared to 2020, but travel restrictions related to COVID-19 variants may be a roadblock, according to Paul Davidson, the president of Universities Canada.

Trades worker shortage getting worse as politicians promise more construction

More than 700,000 skilled tradespeople will retire by 2028, and Canada's efforts to replace them are falling short, warns a new report from the Royal Bank of Canada.

Cabinet record could help or hinder at-risk ministers in Quebec, Ontario

News|By Neil Moss
Former NDP staffer Cameron Holmstrom says some ministers have found themselves in unexpected re-election fights.

The race for Parliament Hill: Liberals, NDP jockey to fill void left in Ottawa Centre

The 40-year tug of war for this uniquely politically engaged riding had a flame lit under it following the withdrawal of incumbent minister Catherine McKenna from political life.
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