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Politicos predict a September federal election, but if not, expect October 2023

By Abbas Rana      

Some of the Liberal MPs and riding association executives interviewed by The Hill Times said that they don’t have any official indication from the party about when the next election will happen, but also said they're preparing for a September election with the writ to be dropped in August.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, pictured. Political insiders expect the next election to happen between August and October and say the Liberals would have an opportunity between that time to convert their minority into a majority government. If that doesn't happen, a vote may not come until 2023. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

Barring a fourth wave of COVID-19 hitting Canada in the coming weeks, the August-October window is the optimal time for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to pull the plug and try to win a majority government, say political insiders, pollsters, and Liberal MPs. If the Liberals can’t capitalize on this opportunity, then the next election may not happen before 2023.

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Increasing tally of early voters adding new dimension to campaign calculus

Advance voting jumped as much as 19.5 per cent this election, and use of special ballots, the majority of which are filled out ahead of election day, increased by roughly 59.4 per cent.

Trudeau ‘dodged the bullet’ but will now run the country and party from a ‘weakened’ position, say politicos

News|By Abbas Rana
'They had that big stick in their hand, which was the election call. They cannot call an election for at least the next year, without the opposition doing egregious things,' says pollster Greg Lyle.

Conservative Party national councillor launches online petition to oust O’Toole

News|By Abbas Rana
For the first time in the party’s history, a Conservative member has initiated a petition to call a referendum on the party leader. But, the Conservative Party’s president has questioned the online petition’s validity.

Political leaders need to address violence, hate seen on campaign trail, say experts

News|By Neil Moss
Centre on Hate, Bias, and Extremism director Barbara Perry says there has been a 'perfect storm' that has led to the incidents of hate and violence that have been seen on the campaign trail.

Ex-Ontario House leader Naqvi will take procedural bonafides to the Commons

News|By Neil Moss
Along with his time as House leader, the Liberal MP-elect served under the Wynne government as Ontario’s attorney general, minister of community safety and correctional services, and as labour minister.

Minor House shakeup sees more than 40 new faces preparing to enter Parliament

News|By , Matt Horwood
With 34 ridings with no incumbent contesting the race and a total of 16 flipped seats, at least 44 new people are projected to join the House's class of 2021, including the first Filipina-Canadian to hold federal office.

Veteran provincial politician Yasir Naqvi’s win keeps Ottawa Centre under federal Liberal banner

News|By Neil Moss
'These are big shoes,' Yasir Naqvi said of previous MPs who represented Ottawa Centre, Ont.

Trudeau Liberals return to preside over minority Parliament after mid-pandemic election

As of press deadline on Sept. 21, the Liberals had won or were leading in 156 ridings, the Conservatives 121, the Bloc Québécois 32, the NDP 27, and the Green Party in two.

‘It looks like nobody wanted an election and no one got what they wanted’: what pollsters, politicos, and reporters had to say about Election 44

News|By Matt Horwood
Difficulties with voting captured the attention of Canadians on Twitter, as many complained of long lines, being turned away at polls and issues with Elections Canada's website.
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