Global
What can Canadian pollsters learn from mistakes in American presidential polling?
By Neil Moss November 18, 2020
'The methods they are using aren't capturing a certain segment of the population,' Abacus Data's David Coletto says of U.S. pollsters.
With around 97 per cent of the expected vote counted, U.S. president-elect Joe Biden, right, is leading U.S. President Donald Trump by 3.6 points in the popular vote as of Nov. 17. Pre-election national polls projected Mr. Biden would win by at least eight points. Photographs courtesy of Flickr/White House and Twitter/Joe Biden
As questions mount about the performance of U.S. polling in successive presidential elections, some Canadian pollsters say there is an opportunity to learn from the mistakes of American firms, while others defend the performance of their U.S. counterparts.
Neil MossNeil Moss is a reporter at The Hill Times covering federal politics, foreign policy, and defence.
Follow - nmoss@hilltimes.com
Related Stories
Politics This Morning
Your email has been added. An email has been sent to your address, please click the link inside of it to confirm your subscription.
MacAulay says ‘progress’ being made cutting veterans’ benefit backlog amid COVID-19
After vowing to hire about 350 new workers and extend the contracts of roughly 160 existing staff members last summer, teams will be simultaneously ‘up and running’ in the next quarter, the feds say.‘Enough is enough’: new group aims to open path for Filipino-Canadian candidates in next federal election
Filipino-Canadians could rally voters in closely-contested ridings across the country, say the founders of the Filipino Canadian Political Association.MPs call for re-vamp of federal role in long-term care system devastated by COVID-19
With the most anticipated budget in recent Canadian history just around the corner, MPs from both sides of the aisle are calling for desperately needed infrastructure funding for long-term care homes across the country. Thirteen suburban ridings will be key battlegrounds in next election, say former Liberal MPs and pollsters
If an election were held today, the Liberals would win most of the 13 suburban ridings decided by the closest margins in the last election, say pollsters.Feds brushing ‘crumbs’ to Black Canadians, says former Liberal MP Caesar-Chavannes
In appointing her successor as parliamentary secretary, Celina Caesar-Chavannes says the prime minister is continuing a ‘pattern of behaviour.’In election-style address, Trudeau pits Liberals’ appetite for change with Conservatives’
In his Liberal convention address, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau took several direct swipes at Conservative Party Leader Erin O’Toole.
Liberals endorse basic income, whistleblower protections, ‘green new deal’ at convention
There were a number of resolutions that were immediately shot down by grassroots members, including one urging the government to create a program for student-loan recipients to reduce their debt through volunteer work.Digital-first campaigns come with competitive advantage, Democratic organizers tell Grits
Remote staffing can be a ‘game changer’ to bring in diversity of skills and organizers for key roles are among the lessons learned by U.S. Democratic organizers during a pandemic election.
Liberal MPs Fergus, Ien reflect on death of George Floyd nearly a year since his killing
As the only Black female MP in Parliament, the Liberals' Marci Ien says it was equally important for her to demonstrate to young people that she had a place in politics.Trending Stories
