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Opinion

COVID-19 pandemic: models, predictions, and aviation

Let us take this crisis as a source of inspiration to continue to work together to make a positive impact in society and the environment. We can do all of this while still supporting air travel, which is the safest mean of transportation and the most reliable for long distances.

Times have changed. The number of flights and the number of people travelling around the world has significantly reduced. Businesses, including airlines, are in complete shutdown, and many people are in quarantine at home after arriving back from spring break. Photograph courtesy of Pexels

Times have changed. The number of flights and the number of people travelling around the world has significantly reduced. Businesses, including airlines, are in complete shutdown, and many people are in quarantine at home after arriving back from spring break. Statistics for March 2020 are not available yet, but, according to Statistics Canada, the total number of aircraft movements in March 2019 was 506,637 in Canadian airports. The Pierre Elliott Trudeau International Airport in Montreal is one of the major airports in Canada. In March 2019, there were 1,702,708 enplaned/deplaned passengers at this airport. In March 2020, it is believed that the number of COVID-19 cases in Quebec has been affected by inbound flights to this airport. The number of confirmed cases in Quebec is currently the highest in all provinces of Canada and has experienced a significant rise after many people have returned home in March from winter holidays. This motivates the analysis of the available data. How many days will it take until we go back to a normal life? Can we collectively have an impact on our society by flattening the curve?

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