The COVID-19 crisis will not be over soon and it could be years before it is. Here are perhaps four timelines: 1. Maybe it will last for a few months, if new treatment drugs are developed. There seems to be some close to, or actually in, human testing. There will still be issues of cost and availability. 2. Maybe it will last for four or five months, if it just runs its course. Cases may be “plateauing” in China. In time, and with the help of containment measures, in four or five months, it may just fizzle out. 3. Maybe it will last for 18 months, if a new vaccine is available. There are some under developments, but they take time and money to test for effectiveness and safety. 4. It last for several years (maybe three to five) if, society builds group immunity. But that probably means the majority of us will have to first become infected, with the resulting big mortality numbers.
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