Home Page Election 2019 News Opinion Foreign Policy Politics Policy Legislation Lobbying Hill Life & People Hill Climbers Heard On The Hill Calendar Archives Classifieds
Hill Times Events Inside Ottawa Directory Hill Times Store Hill Times Careers The Wire Report The Lobby Monitor Parliament Now
Subscribe Free Trial Reuse & Permissions Advertising
Log In

Conservative party leads nominees, NDP lags with quarter of ridings confirmed

By Samantha Wright Allen      

The Conservatives have named 277 candidates, followed by 217 named to the People's Party of Canada, and 197 for the Liberal Party.

Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives lead in candidate nominations, followed by his former leadership competitor Maxime Bernier’s People's Party of Canada, and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberals. The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade
Share a story
The story link will be added automatically.

Five months out from the federal election, the Conservative Party has the most candidates named, its 277 nominees far ahead of the governing Liberals’ 197 candidates, according to the latest numbers from their parties.

That means the Tories have filled 82 per cent of the 338 ridings needed to offer a full slate. Maxime Bernier’s (Beauce, Que.) People’s Party of Canada isn’t far behind his former party, with 217 candidates chosen, said spokesperson Martin Masse.

The NDP, meanwhile, has filled a quarter of the ridings, lagging behind all others. Its 87 nominees put it more than 50 people behind the Green Party’s 141. The Conservatives, Liberals, and People’s Party each more than double the New Democrat numbers.

The number of candidates named to the Conservative, Liberal, Green, New Democrat and People’s parties as of June 3, according to their respective numbers. Graph created with Infogram

The majority of the Liberal cohort is pulled from existing MPs, with at least 161 of the 184 elected in 2015 deciding to go for another four-year run.

That’s the highest proportion of incumbent MPs running again of the three major parties, noted Liberal spokesperson Braeden Caley by email.

The Grits are also seeing “more potential candidates expressing interest than we’ve ever seen before,” added Mr. Caley, pointing to nearly 500 possible candidates who have asked for nomination paperwork in the remaining ridings across Canada.

The NDP, on the other hand, has seen a high proportion of its smaller cohort of MPs opting not to run again. Of the 44 elected in 2015, 14 members won’t be campaigning in 2019, meaning it’s lost a third of its incumbents. Some former MPs have come back into the fold, with Andrew Cash running in the Toronto area after being defeated in 2015, and Svend Robinson returning after a decade hiatus from federal politics, running in the riding neighbouring NDP leader Jagmeet Singh (Burnaby South, B.C.).

The Conservatives will have 83 of 97 MPs return to the ballot, said spokesperson Cory Hann, and at least 16 former MPs are running under the blue banner again. He said another 20 nomination races are currently open and ongoing.

The number of candidates named in each province, according to each party as of June 3. *The People’s Party of Canada’s numbers are based on the 92 names posted online, which doesn’t show the full slate. Graph created with Infogram

‘Upsurge’ in candidates who want to run Green, party says

The Green Party has been gaining momentum across the country, both in the polls and in provincial seats. It took eight seats and official opposition status in Prince Edward Island’s April election, building off the three New Brunswick seats won in September 2018, and two years in B.C. as a coalition partner. The party also won a seat in last year’s Ontario provincial election as well as its second federal seat in May’s byelection. New MP Paul Manly (Nanaimo–Ladysmith, B.C.) took his seat in the House of Commons on May 27.

The latest Abacus Data poll, published June 1, puts Green Party support at 12 per cent compared to the NDP’s 16 per cent—numbers the pollsters said “suggest some strengthening of the Green Party, and an ongoing weak trend for the NDP.”

The Green Party is “firmly on track” to get all 338 ridings filled, and has plenty of nomination meetings planned in the coming weeks, said John Chenery, the party’s communications director.

“There’s been a noticeable upsurge in interest in running for the Greens in 2019 and consequently we’re seeing an unusually high number of hotly contested nominations,” said Mr. Chenery by email.

That uptick in interest to compete under the Green banner has been “coast to coast,” he said, with contested nominations in B.C., Quebec, the Maritimes, and several in Ontario.

In B.C., where leader Elizabeth May holds her Saanich-Gulf Islands seat, the two are neck-and-neck in what appears to be a four-way race, according to Abacus Data, with the Greens “eating into NDP support.”

The Greens have named 16 candidates in the coastal province, while the NDP has confirmed 20. The NDP is furthest behind in naming candidates in Quebec, where Mr. Singh has struggled to get support, and the party has hovered in single-digit territory for months. The Abacus poll puts the New Democrats at 10 per cent, but still two points ahead of the Greens.

Eight of the 13 candidates the New Democrats have confirmed in Quebec are former MPs. That’s only a third of the 37 named by the Greens so far, and even further behind the 46 Liberal and 58 Conservative candidates.

The number of candidates named in Quebec by each party as of June 3. *The People’s Party of Canada’s numbers are based on the 92 names posted online, which doesn’t show the full slate. Graph created with Infogram

The NDP’s place at the back of the pack isn’t a surprise. It’s lagged behind others in naming candidates since earlier this year, with only 21 confirmed in January and some analysts saying MPs and candidates were waiting to decide based on how Mr. Singh performed in B.C. in the February Burnaby South byelection. It was a decisive win, with Mr. Singh taking the seat with 39 per cent of the vote.

The party reached 40 candidates in mid-March, and the pace has picked up in the months since.

NDP spokesman Guillaume Francoeur said the party also has 36 nomination meetings scheduled so far in the next month, which would push the party over the 100-candidate mark by the end of June.

“The process is following its course as planned and we are confident that we will put together a remarkable slate of candidates everywhere across the country,” said Mr. Francoeur by email.

People’s Party plans to fill 338 spots by September

By the end of June, the People’s Party of Canada will have candidates in “well over” 70 per cent of ridings, said Mr. Masse, and will fill any leftover ridings during the summer.

“Even though the party has existed for barely barely eight months, we are doing very well and are on track to have candidates everywhere by Sept. 1,” said Mr. Masse by email.

The party has publicly posted 92 names, with the majority, 23, coming from Ontario, followed by 23 in Quebec, and 11 in British Columbia. Alberta is next with nine public nominees, followed by Saskatchewan’s seven.

Mr. Bernier, as the party’s founder and only current MP, is vying for a spot, though his fledgling party will have two former Conservative MPs, including Steven Fletcher, who left federal politics in 2015 after 11 years when the Liberals took his Manitoba seat. Mr. Fletcher attempted to run again for the Conservatives, but was rejected last year by the party as candidate. One-term Conservative MP Corneliu Chisu is also running under Mr. Bernier’s banner in the rejigged Pickering-Uxbridge riding.  Mr. Chisu represented Pickering-Scarborough East between the 2011 and 2015 elections and is making the switch after he said the Tories were delaying the nomination and looking for another candidate.


The Hill Times

Samantha Wright Allen

Samantha Wright Allen is a reporter for The Hill Times.
- swallen@hilltimes.com

Explore, analyze, understand
Guide to Using Social and Digital Tools in Election Campaigns: Digital and Social Tools that Politicos are Using to get Elected, Raise Funds, and Recruit Volunteers
Guide to Using Social and Digital Tools in Election Campaigns

Get the book
You Might Be From Canada If…
You Might Be From Canada If . . . is a delightful, illustrated romp through this country as it celebrates its 150th birthday.

Get the book
Inside Ottawa Directory – 2019 Edition
The handy reference guide includes: riding profiles, MPs by province, MP contact details, both Hill and constituency and more.

Get the book

Politics This Morning

Get the latest news from The Hill Times

Politics This Morning

Your email has been added. An email has been sent to your address, please click the link inside of it to confirm your subscription.

McKenna wins re-election in Ottawa Centre, trumpets voters’ support for climate fight

News|By Neil Moss
'I’m so relieved,' Catherine McKenna said, about continuing with the Liberal climate change plan.

Election 2019 was a ‘campaign of fear,’ say pollsters

'There may well be a message to this to the main parties, that slagging each other will only take you so far,' says Greg Lyle.

Election 2019 campaign one of the most ‘uninspiring, disheartening, and dirtiest’ in 40 years, says Savoie

News|By Abbas Rana
Green Party Leader Elizabeth May says she has never seen an election where mudslinging overwhelmingly dominated the campaign, leaving little or no time for policy discussion.

Strategic voting to determine if Liberals will form government, say political players

News|By Abbas Rana
As many as nine per cent of progressive voters could vote strategically in this close election potentially affecting the outcome in more than 100 ridings, says Innovative Research president Greg Lyle.

Turkish offensive should pressure feds to act on repatriation of Canadian citizens in Kurdish-controlled ISIS detention camps, says expert

News|By Neil Moss
The issue of repatriation will be less politically fraught after the election, says expert.

Business tops experience among 2019 candidates, one-third have run for office before

Here’s an analysis of the record 1,700-plus candidates running for the six major parties this election.

Pod save us all: the growing role of political podcasts in election 2019

News|By Mike Lapointe
The Hill Times spoke with some podcast hosts taking a deeper dive into the political nitty-gritty, within a medium that only continues to grow in popularity.

No-shows from Conservative candidate could hurt party’s chances in tight Kanata-Carleton race, say politicos

News|By Palak Mangat
The Conservative's candidate, Justin McCaffrey, has skipped two events, including a debate on the environment, intended to feature all candidates.

For whom will the bell toll in Peterborough-Kawartha?

In a riding where voters are deeply engaged in the political process, candidates avoid the low-hanging fruit and stay out of the mud as they grapple with who to send to the House of Commons.
Your group subscription includes premium access to Politics This Morning briefing.