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LONDON, U.K.—The Russian-Ukrainian naval clash in the Black Sea is not going to end up in a world war. Ukraine would love to be part of NATO, but the existing members won’t let it join. Why? Precisely because that might drag them into a war with Russia. Russia doesn’t have any real military alliances either. Various countries sympathize with either Ukraine or Russia, but none of them have obligations to send military help, and they are not going

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Global

Ukraine: no big war

By Gwynne Dyer      

The Russians are legally in the wrong, but they are going to win this one because Ukraine had almost no navy left and nobody wants a bigger war. Ukraine has imposed martial law in areas that border on Russia for the next 30 days, but that’s mainly window dressing. There may be further sanctions against Russia, but that’s as far as it goes.

The Russian-Ukrainian naval clash in the Black Sea, pictured here on Nov. 25, is not going to end up in a world war. Ukraine would love to be part of NATO, but the existing members won’t let it join. Why? Precisely because that might drag them into a war with Russia. Screen capture image courtesy of The Independent
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