Polling headlines should reach beyond horse race figures, say pollsters eyeing 2019 election
By Peter MazereeuwJul. 23, 2018
Traditional voting patterns could go out the window in Quebec in 2019, says Greg Lyle.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau arrives with his wife Sophie Gregoire Trudeau and daughter Ella-Grace at the advance poll in Vanier to cast his ballot in the Ontario provincial election on May 25, 2018. Voting intention polls show Mr. Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada holds a slight edge over its Conservative rival right now, but some pollsters say media should be looking past the horse race figures for the real stories. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade
Dig past the horserace questions, ignore probability projections, and pay for it: those are some of the suggestions pollsters have for the media covering polls before the next federal election.
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‘Imagine losing your job, getting fired, but you’re fired by basically your entire riding and your whole life has been serving these people, and there’s just a lot wrapped up in it:’ Tory House leader Candice Bergen.
Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott say they have no endgame, but some observers say they risk their reputations by continuing to find points of disagreement with Justin Trudeau, the government, and the Liberal Party.