Contradictory polls ‘perfectly predictable,’ reflect volatility among voters, say pollsters

Contradictory poll results this far out from the election reflect the undecided population and, unlike the results themselves, are “perfectly predictable,” say some pollsters, but others say the recent variations raise important questions about transparency, standards, and reporting. So far, horse-race polls reveal a tight two-way race between the Conservatives and Liberals, but how tight […]
Last chance to lobby MPs sees June numbers shrink, with influencers eyeing the campaign season

The waning days of the House’s busy legislative calendar were coupled with an unsurprising dip in lobbying, but some were making the most of the last month with MPs in Ottawa before an extended break for the campaign ahead of an October election. With party platforms still being written, June was a good time for […]
Bloc Québécois’ resurgence shifting race in Quebec, threatening Liberal fortunes, say observers

The federal battleground in Quebec is shifting, with a renewed Bloc Québécois shaping up to be real competition, and a factor other parties can’t afford to overlook, say experts. A year ago, a then-fractured Bloc Québécois was “not a threat” to the major parties in the battle for Quebec’s 78 federal seats, said Carl Vallée, […]
Bennett touts feds’ move to split INAC in speech at AFN gathering

With under two months to go before the government is expected to drop the writ, Crown-Indigenous Relations Minister Carolyn Bennett on Tuesday reminded delegates at the Assembly of First Nations of her party’s record, pointing to its spending priorities and the move to split Indigenous affairs. Speaking at the AFN’s three-day gathering in Fredericton, N.B., […]
Election 2019: electoral districts

Search for your riding to find out who’s running in the 2019 election, who currently holds the seat, and by how much they won. The Liberals, with their majority, hold 177 seats, while the official opposition, the Conservatives, control 96 seats. The New Democrats have 41 seats, 15 of which are in Quebec, and […]
Politics This Morning: Bennett in Fredericton for AFN meeting

Good Tuesday morning, Crown-Indigenous Relations Minister Carolyn Bennett is in Fredericton, N.B., to address Indigenous leaders across the country at the AFN’s three-day annual general meeting. High on the agenda at this year’s meeting will be a discussion on their political strategy heading into campaign season, as they look to ensure their priorities are reflected in parties’ […]
With Canada’s election looming, sense of urgency growing over passage of new NAFTA, say Republican aides

As Canada inches closer to the upcoming federal election, some Republican staffers say there’s a growing impatience with the Democrats over their refusal to bring the new NAFTA to a vote in the House. “In my district, among farmers, there certainly is a sense of urgency,” said Republican staffer Debra Fansler, who works for Representative […]
Canada’s upcoming federal election could expose deepening societal rifts and ‘ordered’ populism, says Graves

Canada’s upcoming federal election could expose deepening societal rifts that will test the country’s immunity from Trumpian-style populism, says one leading pollster, but other politicians and political observers say while there are worrying signs, it has limited appeal. Thanks to economic stagnation, the hyper-concentration of wealth, and a brewing cultural backlash, Canada’s political climate is […]
Generational changes in Sikh vote, in five graphs

NDP hits pause on ads, Grits and Tories suspend TV campaigns as pre-election spending cap, summer doldrums kick in

The NDP says it has temporarily stopped running political ads on Facebook and elsewhere fewer than 100 days before the federal election, leading one conservative-tied digital strategist to suggest the party is in deep trouble, and a former NDP national director to predict the party is saving its ammunition for closer to the election. “The […]