Tory polling sign of political landscape’s ‘shifting sands’ and volatility from undecided voters, says pollster Shachi Kurl

The Conservatives still have a double-digit lead across every recent poll, but analysis by the Angus Reid Institute show that with potentially a year or more before the next election, half of the electorate are still open to changing their minds before casting their ballots.
Liberal pandering hasn’t opened Pandora’s box of voter support

According to a recent Abacus Data poll, only 13 per cent of respondents said the policy changes on carbon pricing will make them more likely to vote Liberal.
‘I feel like a physician giving bad news’: Trudeau needs to ‘up his game’ or risk losing to surging Poilievre, say pollsters

With the Liberals in trouble and caucus getting nervous and openly criticizing their leadership, it’s up to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his party to stop the bleeding of public support, pollsters tell The Hill Times.
For Pierre Poilievre, nastiness serves a strategic political purpose

Anger is Poilievre’s calling card. It got him elected, made him a cabinet minister, and won him the Conservative leadership.
A trickle of PR won’t douse the Liberals’ flaming poll numbers

No one should write off Justin Trudeau or the Liberal Party, but neither should the Liberals be so naïve as to just dismiss recent data or think a simple change of tone will make things better.
Conservatives’ polling lead ‘still fundamentally about the Liberals,’ as fatigue sets in with incumbents, say pollsters

A new ad pitch to soften Pierre Poilievre’s image will only work if it’s backed by the Conservative leader’s actions, according to former Liberal strategist Dan Arnold. But Conservatives are still polling about 10 points ahead of the Liberals.
Liberals face uphill battle in ‘war of ideas’ over best path forward on reconciliation, say pundits

A recent Pollara survey suggests the Conservatives have a 12-point lead amongst Indigenous voters, which policy analyst Melissa Mbarki says could be partly due to the party’s talking points on fiscal responsibility and spending.
‘Leaders are basically the national campaigns’ today: messages of change and contrition a possible remedy for low numbers, say pollsters

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is ‘not running against perfection, he’s running against Justin Trudeau,’ says Nik Nanos.
NDP ‘a loser’ in recent byelections, should be ‘very worried’ about hemorrhaging support to Liberals, say political players

Recent byelection results should make the NDP rethink their supply-and-confidence deal with the government, says Innovative Research president Greg Lyle.
‘I’ve never seen the country in a darker, more divided mood than we find it today’: polarization, unpopular leaders present challenges for parties to break out of poll stasis, pollsters say

Greg Lyle of Innovative Research says a summer cabinet shuffle offers ‘relaunch’ for Liberals, while Nik Nanos recommends Poilievre avoid the spotlight.