Face supplant: minister recognition neither ‘net positive nor negative’ for Liberal election, leadership hopes, say politicos
The people who matter already know the names, faces, and birthdays of every cabinet member, regardless of leadership aspirations, says Yaroslav Baran.
Trudeau must meet with caucus before September
Constituents deserve answers, just as Liberal backbenchers deserve answers from the leadership of their party.
Caucus disquiet grows after Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection upset as Liberals face ‘catastrophic loss’ with status quo
For the Trudeau government, the writing has been on the wall since November, and ‘despite their best efforts, they haven’t been able to get up off the floor,’ says pollster Greg Lyle.
Poilievre has the most room to move, but he also has to make sure ‘he doesn’t make a mistake,’ say pollsters
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has a high disapproval rating, but the Conservative and NDP leaders are struggling to achieve net-positive impressions with voters.
Once a coveted safe Liberal seat, Toronto-St. Paul’s now a ‘swing riding’ and leaning Conservative, says pollster Lyle
A veteran GTA Liberal says that their party will win the Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection, but with a single-digit margin.
Poilievre’s narrative ‘not resonating’ in Quebec, but observers say that won’t hurt a Conservative path to victory
If Quebecers see a change in government to the Conservatives as ‘inevitable’ in the next federal campaign, they may prefer to send a contingent of Bloc MPs to Ottawa, says pollster David Coletto.
Freeland’s budget seen as last hope to turn Trudeau’s electoral fortunes around, say politicos
A key metric to gauge the budget’s effectiveness will be whether it reverses Canadians’ appetite for change in government, says David Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data.
Poor polling numbers, NDP MPP’s rumoured candidacy, and Mideast conflict turns Toronto-St. Paul’s, Ont., byelection into tight three-way race, say Liberal MPs
However, even though a number of factors are currently against the government, it appears unlikely the Liberals would lose the Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection, says Greg Lyle, president of Innovative Research.
Liberals ‘between the devil and the deep blue sea’ on carbon tax and caucus fissures on Mid-East war, say political players
Without pausing the upcoming carbon price increase on April 1, it’s hard to find a way to get the Liberals out of their public support slump, says pollster Greg Lyle.
Polls show ‘across-the-board, generalized retreat’ from Liberals, says Coletto
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will ‘either walk up to the edge of the next election and run, or he’ll walk up to the edge of the next election and decide to retire,’ so until that time Liberals should focus on how to ‘get more competitive with the current prime minister,’ says former Martin-era Liberal PMO staffer Scott Reid.
