Liberal leadership hopefuls face uphill battle to present themselves as ‘change’

It’s difficult to ‘firebomb’ the Trudeau legacy during the leadership campaign when many party members still approve of the prime minister, says pollster David Coletto. But this leadership race is ‘the first act of the general election,’ and candidates will have little time afterwards to ‘pivot,’ says former Liberal staffer Dan Arnold.
Always leave them wanting more: Fraser tops All Politics Poll as he looks to exit federal politics

The results of The Hill Times’ 2024 year-end poll are in. Liberal MP Sean Fraser scores a hat trick and takes the ‘Most Valuable Politician’ title for the second year in a row, while Tory Leader Pierre Poilievre divides respondents.
Trump’s threats have Canadians worried, but do little to change domestic political views: polls

Voters still overwhelmingly prefer Conservatives, but Trudeau has become more competitive against Poilievre when dealing with the U.S. president-elect.
The importance of internal polls

Those public opinion polls you see on TV and in newspapers are only the tip of the iceberg. Most of the polling action is actually done in secret.
Consistent polling figures show Liberals face situation where the ‘public just stops listening’

In the aftermath of the U.S. election last month, the prime minister and his ministers have sought to contrast Trudeau’s previous experience dealing with Trump’s first four years in office with the Conservatives.
‘Extreme apprehension’: Canada holds its breath as U.S. election enters final stage

While the race sits on a knife’s edge, residents on both sides of the border fear violence and uncertainty will plague the presidential election.
Voters don’t want likable, they want change and results, say pollsters

When Canadians go to the polls, they aren’t comparing politicians to perfection, they’re comparing them to their opponents, says pollster Nik Nanos.
Could the Bloc Québécois become His Majesty’s Loyal Opposition?

There is a plausible path forward for Bloc Leader Yves-François Blanchet to become the next leader of the opposition, but this requires a few assumptions.
Atlantic Liberals feel ‘dramatic’ drag of Trudeau’s unpopularity, says pollster

‘These are small, small communities,’ says former Liberal staffer Nick McRoberts, who is from Prince Edward Island. ‘Everyone knows each other, and MPs need to be connected to their neighbours.’
Prorogation? Resignation? Liberals vow to push through House impasse as speculation swirls on the Hill

Liberals are pouring cold water on speculation that Parliament will be prorogued. However, such a measure, combined with a prime ministerial resignation won’t save them, but it could put ‘them back in the game,’ says pollster Nik Nanos. He also says if Trudeau steps down, the race to replace him could attract cabinet ministers from Quebec where the Liberals have the best chance of winning seats in the next election.