Has the Liberal brand rebounded?
OTTAWA—Voters in Nova Scotia appear set to elect a Liberal government in their province for the first time since the 1990s. Daily tracking polling from the Corporate Research Associates gives Stephen McNeil’s Liberals a 20-point lead over the incumbent New Democrats of Darrell Dexter. A polling lead has been the kiss of death lately, […]
Green Party could win second seat in Victoria in 2015
With 15 new seats up for grabs and an epic battle for the support of voters in the Greater Toronto Area, Ontario may very well (again) decide who forms the next government in 2015. With the Liberals making huge gains in Quebec and the electorate in serious flux as the NDP has yet to […]
Polls are king in U.S., while in Canada they’re derided: Grenier
Kevin Milligan, an associate professor of economics at UBC, tweeted last week about how the work that writers like Nate Silver do is praised as the future of journalism in the United States, whereas it receives no such acclaim here in Canada. “In the U.S.,” he tweeted, “everyone seems to be celebrating the rise […]
Trudeau attacks betray Tory concern with the polls: Grenier
OTTAWA—Mid-mandate polls are meaningless, they say. The only poll that matters will be on election day in 2015, you hear. Except, it seems someone actually is paying attention to the polls this far out from the next election—someone in the Prime Minister’s Office. For a ‘light-weight’ Montreal MP who has never been trusted with […]
Don’t give up on polls, demand better: Grenier
OTTAWA–The polling industry suffered a debilitating hit on election night in British Columbia. Some columnists and journalists have sworn they have been burned for the last time, and others have questioned why the media has relied on polls so much in the first place. The public cares about them a lot less than the […]
Public opinion polls point to opportunity for Trudeau federal Liberals
OTTAWA—New polls that have shown the Liberals leading in national voting intentions were sarcastically dismissed by the New Democrats. MPs laughed off the numbers and one email from the party linked to a poll from 2006 that showed the Liberals under Stéphane Dion with enough support to form a majority government. Of course, that […]
Polls remain mixed for Mulcair after one year
OTTAWA—This weekend marked the one-year anniversary of Thomas Mulcair’s NDP leadership victory. After 12 months at the helm of the party, the verdict on his performance has to be mixed, at least based on how he has done in the polls. In contrast to the surge in support the Liberal Party has been experiencing […]
The danger in underestimating Trudeau
OTTAWA—The boxing analogy has probably been overused by now, but the last time Justin Trudeau was dismissed as a lightweight did not end very well for his opponent. There is a strong possibility that his critics will be surprised again. It seems inevitable that Justin Trudeau will win the Liberal leadership race in April, and […]
Political consensus in Quebec goes missing
OTTAWA—In the last weeks of April 2011, Quebecers moved en masse towards the New Democrats and propelled the party to official opposition status, erasing 20 years of Bloc Québécois dominance in the province. Now, Quebecers cannot seem to make up their mind. Polls at both the federal and provincial levels in the province suggest […]
The Hill Times’ 16th Annual Most Valuable Politician & All Politics Poll conducted by Forum Research Inc.
PARLIAMENT HILL—In a year that saw the election of a new federal NDP leader, the launch of the federal Liberal leadership race, and a renewed federal focus on hyper-partisanship, this year’s respondents to The Hill Times’ 16th Annual Most Valuable Politician and All Politics Poll stuck mostly to both their party lines and to their […]
