Carney takeover top reason for Liberal revival: poll

Thirty-five per cent of the new Liberal supporters had previously backed the NDP, while 29 per cent had migrated from the Conservative Party.
Liberal lead ‘built on toothpicks and very dry sand’ as party’s fortunes tied to perceptions of Carney rather than policy, polls suggest

The Liberals’ voter pool is volatile and open to moving to other parties, says Abacus Data’s David Coletto, meaning the first impressions of Mark Carney must last until the election for the party to claim a fourth consecutive victory.
Canadian democracy remains strong, but trust is low in politicians and parties: reports

Two international studies show Canada’s democratic institutions remain the most robust in the Americas, but a domestic survey of trust shows bad news for the country’s political figures.
NDP needs to go ‘back to the drawing board’ on election strategy or face further drop in the polls, say pundits

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh says he and his party have no “plan B” in the next election other than winning, but with his party slipping closer to single digits in the polls, strategists say he needs a better plan than to just go down swinging. On Feb. 18, the Angus Reid Institute’s latest survey indicated […]
‘Going to have to fight for it’: Conservative path to power narrows as voter attention turns to U.S. and Carney

‘Mark Carney finds himself back into the race, because he’s seen as somebody who has experience in dealing with these types of international issues,’ says pollster Darrell Bricker.
An election about who’s best to handle Trump spells trouble for Bloc Québécois, say observers

U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and 51st-state remarks are ‘actually strategically and politically good’ for the Liberals, says former Grit staffer Jeremy Ghio.
Rising patriotism, anger at Trump propel Carney campaign to competitive position, polls suggest

A series of polls show the Liberals have cut the Conservatives’ lead to single digits, while one Leger survey suggested a dead heat if Mark Carney were to become prime minister.
Prolonged Trump-triggered surge in Canadian patriotism may move electoral needle, say pollsters

Whether this is a fleeting moment or the beginning of a wave of Canadian nationalism—something on which federal politicians or parties could capitalize—depends on how long it lasts, says Shachi Kurl.
Trudeau’s exit, Trump’s threats, and plan to scrap carbon tax tighten polls, say pollsters

For the Liberals to recover more of their lost political ground, Pierre Poilievre would have to make some missteps, says pollster Nik Nanos. Also, ‘Justin Trudeau is no longer on the menu.’
Ontario embarks on snap election as pundits say provincial leaders will distance themselves from federal counterparts

Ontarians will head to the polls in a snap provincial election on Feb. 27, just over a week before federal Liberal Party members choose their next leader—and the next prime minister.