Rising patriotism, anger at Trump propel Carney campaign to competitive position, polls suggest

A series of polls show the Liberals have cut the Conservatives’ lead to single digits, while one Leger survey suggested a dead heat if Mark Carney were to become prime minister.
Prolonged Trump-triggered surge in Canadian patriotism may move electoral needle, say pollsters

Whether this is a fleeting moment or the beginning of a wave of Canadian nationalism—something on which federal politicians or parties could capitalize—depends on how long it lasts, says Shachi Kurl.
Trudeau’s exit, Trump’s threats, and plan to scrap carbon tax tighten polls, say pollsters

For the Liberals to recover more of their lost political ground, Pierre Poilievre would have to make some missteps, says pollster Nik Nanos. Also, ‘Justin Trudeau is no longer on the menu.’
Ontario embarks on snap election as pundits say provincial leaders will distance themselves from federal counterparts

Ontarians will head to the polls in a snap provincial election on Feb. 27, just over a week before federal Liberal Party members choose their next leader—and the next prime minister.
Duelling polls put Conservatives in ‘super majority’ or minority government position in next election

Pollster Nik Nanos says the next election is ‘the Conservatives’ to lose,’ with surveys speaking ‘as much to the disarray within the Liberal Party today as it does to Pierre Poilievre’s effectiveness at focusing on meat-and-potato issues.’
Fears over Trump’s tariffs grow, but Canadian federal party standings static: polls

Pollster Nik Nanos said voters’ minds could be made up by ‘how the two leaders of the Conservatives and the Liberals scope out how they’re going to manage’ the relationship with the new U.S. president.
Atlantic Grits open to ‘practical’ leadership candidate who gets rural Canada, say local Liberals

The carbon tax remains a non-starter in the region, says Abacus Data’s Kelly Bennett, as it’s become ‘a symbol of broader discontent, and misunderstanding of Atlantic Canadians.’
Liberal leadership hopefuls face uphill battle to present themselves as ‘change’

It’s difficult to ‘firebomb’ the Trudeau legacy during the leadership campaign when many party members still approve of the prime minister, says pollster David Coletto. But this leadership race is ‘the first act of the general election,’ and candidates will have little time afterwards to ‘pivot,’ says former Liberal staffer Dan Arnold.
Always leave them wanting more: Fraser tops All Politics Poll as he looks to exit federal politics

The results of The Hill Times’ 2024 year-end poll are in. Liberal MP Sean Fraser scores a hat trick and takes the ‘Most Valuable Politician’ title for the second year in a row, while Tory Leader Pierre Poilievre divides respondents.
Trump’s threats have Canadians worried, but do little to change domestic political views: polls

Voters still overwhelmingly prefer Conservatives, but Trudeau has become more competitive against Poilievre when dealing with the U.S. president-elect.