‘Someone took their eye off the ball’: pollsters plan pinch-hitter as industry association closes doors
The association charged with holding the country’s pollsters and market researchers to high standards of transparency and accountability didn’t live up to the same measure, say pollsters, who were left reeling when the oversight body abruptly shut its doors recently. Members of the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association (MRIA), who were given mere days notice […]
Polling headlines should reach beyond horse race figures, say pollsters eyeing 2019 election
Dig past the horserace questions, ignore probability projections, and pay for it: those are some of the suggestions pollsters have for the media covering polls before the next federal election. Last month’s Ontario election served as a lesson of sorts on the dangers of reading too much into so-called horse race polling. Vote preference polls […]
Could Justin Trudeau lose the next election?
TORONTO—Could Justin Trudeau lose the next election? Well, sure he could. In strictly existential terms, you are always facing political death. The distance from hero to zero is very slight. Ask Kathleen Wynne. After Trudeau won big in 2015—after he came from a remote and distant perch in the House of Commons, from third place, […]
Trudeau in the ‘penalty box,’ Conservatives top Liberals, poll suggests
The Liberals have fallen slightly behind the Conservatives, with 34 per cent of Canadians saying they would vote for the party, compared to 36 per cent who say they would vote for the Conservatives, though many still largely prefer Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to the opposition leaders, according to a new Campaign Research poll. “They’re placing him […]
Canadians conflicted on Indigenous issues and Trudeau’s handling of the file, poll shows
A new poll by the Angus Reid Institute outlines the complicated relationship Canada has with its Indigenous population, offering up thoughts on Indigenous status, whether or not the treaties have been properly honoured, and how the public feels about the residential school system. Fifty-three per cent of those who responded also noted that fundamentally “Canada […]
Kathleen Wynne made it all about Kathleen Wynne
TORONTO—Kathleen Wynne’s former cabinet colleague doesn’t mince words. “Kathleen is all about Kathleen,” the former colleague says. “That’s always her focus.” A former Liberal candidate, Jim Curran, was livid about Wynne’s ahistorical decision to concede defeat days before the vote, thereby consigning her candidates and caucus to political oblivion. Said Curran: “What Kathleen did to […]
Trans Mountain purchase to expose Liberals on multiple fronts, say pollsters: ‘they wear everybody’s mistakes’
Buying the $4.5-billion Trans Mountain pipeline has made the governing Liberals politically vulnerable on multiple fronts and will likely endanger seats in British Columbia and Quebec without providing a boost in Alberta, say pollsters. The controversial move, announced by Natural Resources Minister Jim Carr (Winnipeg South Centre, Man.) and Finance Minister Bill Morneau (Toronto Centre, […]
One year on, a report card on Andrew Scheer’s Conservative leadership
OTTAWA—This isn’t a love letter from a delusional former hard-core partisan or an attempt at butt-kissing the Conservative leader. Qualifications aside, as Andrew Scheer passes the one-year mark of his leadership of the Conservative Party of Canada, he has done a solid job. But Conservatives shouldn’t be popping champagne corks yet, as Justin Trudeau—despite some […]
Canadians see a home ownership crisis that governments aren’t addressing
Home prices have been rising for nearly two decades, far outpacing average income growth. The result is a growing anxiety among younger Canadians about their prospects for home ownership and a middle-class lifestyle. Most feel their political leaders are failing to address this situation—or even making it worse. New public opinion research, commissioned by the […]
Rae Days in the rearview: polling shows few Ontarians fear an NDP government
OTTAWA—The adventure that has been Ontario politics in 2018 just continues to get wilder. The once dull, predictable province when it came to political outcomes is now tilting frantically, like some aged roller-coaster ride. With a couple of weeks to go before the June 7 vote, polls, yes those dastardly things, are all showing public […]
