Liberal MP Hepfner may have to duke it out with NDP MPP Monique Taylor in ‘progressive bellwether’ riding of Hamilton Mountain in 2025, say Liberal and NDP insiders
The southern Ontario riding could show whether the left-of-centre vote is coalescing behind the Liberals to stop the Conservatives, or is splitting, says Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Public Affairs.
Conservatives ‘riding the stronger horse’ in competing narratives about budget: pollster Lyle
The Liberals made it ‘eminently clear’ the change to capital gains tax ‘is a fight that they want,’ says former Liberal staffer Carlene Variyan. But so far the Tories have ‘batted it down pretty well,’ says former Conservative staffer Laura Kurkimaki.
Federal parties in court April 22 after judge denies adjournment request in voter data case
The political parties are demonstrating a ‘lack of respect for Canada’s voters and our democracy,’ says Jim Balsillie of the Centre for Digital Rights.
Poor polling numbers, NDP MPP’s rumoured candidacy, and Mideast conflict turns Toronto-St. Paul’s, Ont., byelection into tight three-way race, say Liberal MPs
However, even though a number of factors are currently against the government, it appears unlikely the Liberals would lose the Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection, says Greg Lyle, president of Innovative Research.
‘Polls are bullshit’ Broadbent Progress Summit hears as politicos talk of potential NDP ‘collapse’
‘Nobody can say what’s going to happen in an election campaign a year away, or even a week away, based on polls,’ says Anne McGrath, principal secretary to NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh.
Liberals, Conservatives, and NDP to argue new electoral reform bill should delay voter data court case
On March 20, the Liberal government tabled Bill C-65. Eight days later, the Liberal Party filed an application to adjourn the coming voter privacy trial with C-65 at the centre of its argument. That application will be heard on April 10.
‘Up to Canadians to judge’: Liberal-NDP deal holds two years on, as sweeping elections bill introduced
If Bill C-65 passes, the chief electoral officer must report on ways to implement a three-day voting period, and on the feasibility of allowing electors to cast their vote at any polling station in their riding by 2029.
Polls show ‘across-the-board, generalized retreat’ from Liberals, says Coletto
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will ‘either walk up to the edge of the next election and run, or he’ll walk up to the edge of the next election and decide to retire,’ so until that time Liberals should focus on how to ‘get more competitive with the current prime minister,’ says former Martin-era Liberal PMO staffer Scott Reid.
Pharmacare a ‘housekeeping measure’ for Liberals, while NDP seeks to ‘tell everybody’ about much needed parliamentary win: Nanos
The Liberals’ relative silence on pharmacare in recent days while NDP leader Jagmeet Singh went on the talk show circuit may be an effort to not ‘give too much oxygen’ to a story that could help their partner in the supply-and-confidence deal, said pollster Nik Nanos.
Pollsters skeptical NDP would force an election over pharmacare
Meanwhile, former Liberal staffer Dan Arnold says the government has to decide whether it wants to invest big money into pharmacare versus its other policy priorities in advance of the next election.
