Trudeau’s leadership faces further stress tests in series of coming byelections

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh’s judgment could also be under scrutiny pending the party’s performance in the Elmwood-Transcona, Man., byelection, says pollster Nik Nanos.
Despite divorce talk, New Democrat brand, history still hold value for Alberta’s Naheed Nenshi, say politicos

Former staffers and political observers say Nenshi has more to gain from uniting progressives under the orange banner than attempting to start from scratch.
Caucus disquiet grows after Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection upset as Liberals face ‘catastrophic loss’ with status quo

For the Trudeau government, the writing has been on the wall since November, and ‘despite their best efforts, they haven’t been able to get up off the floor,’ says pollster Greg Lyle.
‘Stark reality’: Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection loss shows no seat safe for Liberals, politicos warn

‘The status quo is untenable, unless [the Liberals] want to get absolutely steamrolled when we head to the next election,’ says former Conservative staffer Shakir Chambers.
Party leaders’ communications strategy on foreign interference report ‘not a positive’ for public interest, say political strategists

Canadians have no further clarity about the content of the NSICOP report because of mixed messaging from party leaders, say Garry Keller and Yaroslav Baran. Keller says the messaging has been ‘awful’ and is now sowing doubt and discord in the House and among Canadians.
Political leaders should not put interests of parties over interests of the country

The House may be adjourned for the summer, but the sensational claims that some parliamentarians have been ‘semi-witting or witting’ players with foreign states to interfere in our politics will continue to hang over this Parliament.
Hogue says nominations a ‘gateway’ for foreign interference, but Marland says parties ‘wary about the state having rules limiting what they do’

Jacques Shore, a former director of research for Security Intelligence Review Committee, said he ‘applauds’ Parliament for passing C-70, but said ‘we missed an opportunity’ by not also bringing nominations under the Canada Elections Act.
B.C. voter data complainant calls out microtargeting, as parties mum on next steps after court loss

Using voter data for targeted messaging ‘exposes you to a manipulative process rather than a public deliberative process,’ says Andrew Clement, who filed a privacy complaint against federal political parties.
Poilievre’s narrative ‘not resonating’ in Quebec, but observers say that won’t hurt a Conservative path to victory

If Quebecers see a change in government to the Conservatives as ‘inevitable’ in the next federal campaign, they may prefer to send a contingent of Bloc MPs to Ottawa, says pollster David Coletto.
Federal parties face tighter privacy rules after losing ‘unprecedented’ voter data case, but appeal could delay enforcement

Rapid advancement of technology allows for ‘profiling and micro-targeting voters’ and creates ‘risks of misuse’ that ‘could result in the erosion of trust in our political system,’ ruled Justice Gordon Weatherill.