Liberal and Conservative safe seats likely to stay, but NDP less certain, say pollsters

There are 111 safe seats across Canada, based on wins by candidates with a margin of 25 per cent of the vote or greater in the previous federal election in 2021.
Gaming out the first period

Some important things could be revealed over the course of the first two weeks of the 45th election campaign.
Carney’s ‘decisive’ first week as prime minister may determine if he gets to stay post-election, say strategists

Mark Carney’s first nine days as prime minister were jam-packed, but he can’t keep coasting on the quick and easy decisions or cribbing from the Conservatives, says Tory pundit Andrea Sarkic.
The Liberal Constanza strategy: do the opposite of usual practice

The Liberals have done a 180-degree shift; they’ve ditched the politics of pizzazz and personality and replaced it with the politics of mundane political proficiency.
Don’t believe Trump rooting for Carney

One of Canada’s first financial moves under Mark Carney was to sell off American dollars in a Canadian government bond offering. Donald Trump has met his match.
Liberal lead ‘built on toothpicks and very dry sand’ as party’s fortunes tied to perceptions of Carney rather than policy, polls suggest

The Liberals’ voter pool is volatile and open to moving to other parties, says Abacus Data’s David Coletto, meaning the first impressions of Mark Carney must last until the election for the party to claim a fourth consecutive victory.
April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

Pierre Poilievre has been spinning his wheels in a feckless attempt to transfer the enmity he so successfully encouraged against Justin Trudeau to Mark Carney. That will be a tough sell.
Can Poilievre capitalize on Carney’s weak spots?

To derail Prime Minister Mark Carney’s upsurge, Conservatives must adjust their strategy—focusing on unity, the social safety net, and practical policies that confront America head-on.
Prime Minister Carney’s first decision is a tough one

The June G7 meeting couldn’t be happening at a more consequential moment, both for the planet, and for Canada and its economic and political destiny.
As the pendulum swings, Tories should be ready to pivot

The Conservative leader need not be who he isn’t, but he might want to show and talk more about where he would take Canada in this uncertain world.