Is it time for Singh and Trudeau to make bold moves?

In politics, it’s often worth taking a risk. As the ancients understood, sometimes fortune does favour the bold.
Ontario Liberal MP Drouin may not run in the next election

So far, 21 MPs from all parties have announced they won’t seek re-election in the next contest. The number is expected to grow in the coming weeks and months.
Trudeau tells Grit MPs not to expect any dramatic boost in public support until next year

The Tories’ double-digit lead is not so much an endorsement of Pierre Poilievre as leader, but because Canadians want a change in government, says Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Public Affairs.
Former ministerial staffer Church and Global Affairs official Richardson seek coveted Liberal nomination of Toronto-St. Paul’s

The May 1 Liberal nomination contest will elect the party’s candidate for the yet-to-be-scheduled byelection.
Parties have ‘free rein’ with voter data, finds report, but veteran party ops say that’s vital for democratic engagement

A court case about voter privacy rights in B.C. begins this week against the backdrop of a data ‘arms race’ by the federal political parties, says Matt Hatfield of OpenMedia.
Trudeau’s betting on himself

If the Liberals release an election TV ad highlighting Trudeau’s beaming face, the public’s reaction could be along the lines of ‘Not that guy again. I’m so over him.’ Trudeau-focused ads might end up reminding people why they don’t want to vote Liberal.
Liberal MP Hepfner may have to duke it out with NDP MPP Monique Taylor in ‘progressive bellwether’ riding of Hamilton Mountain in 2025, say Liberal and NDP insiders

The southern Ontario riding could show whether the left-of-centre vote is coalescing behind the Liberals to stop the Conservatives, or is splitting, says Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Public Affairs.
Conservatives ‘riding the stronger horse’ in competing narratives about budget: pollster Lyle

The Liberals made it ‘eminently clear’ the change to capital gains tax ‘is a fight that they want,’ says former Liberal staffer Carlene Variyan. But so far the Tories have ‘batted it down pretty well,’ says former Conservative staffer Laura Kurkimaki.
Federal parties in court April 22 after judge denies adjournment request in voter data case

The political parties are demonstrating a ‘lack of respect for Canada’s voters and our democracy,’ says Jim Balsillie of the Centre for Digital Rights.
Poor polling numbers, NDP MPP’s rumoured candidacy, and Mideast conflict turns Toronto-St. Paul’s, Ont., byelection into tight three-way race, say Liberal MPs

However, even though a number of factors are currently against the government, it appears unlikely the Liberals would lose the Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection, says Greg Lyle, president of Innovative Research.