Upcoming Montreal byelection will be ‘a pretty important stay-or-go indicator’ for PM Trudeau, say political insiders and MPs

The Liberals are highly likely to win the LaSalle-Émard-Verdun race, but things could get complicated in the three-way contest between the Liberals, Bloc, and NDP, says former Liberal staffer Jeremy Ghio.
Snap out of it: hair-trigger elections won’t save you

Strategy can’t outplay the public’s deeply entrenched, times-up temperament.
Liberal leadership and policy choices post-byelection loss will shape advocacy strategies leading up to 2025 election, say lobbyists

Regardless of the prime minister’s leadership decision, the Liberals will now be ‘hyper-focused on short-term gains’ to quickly win back voters, says former party staffer Muhammad Ali.
Trudeau’s leadership faces further stress tests in series of coming byelections

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh’s judgment could also be under scrutiny pending the party’s performance in the Elmwood-Transcona, Man., byelection, says pollster Nik Nanos.
Liberal MPs Long and McDonald call for change in party leadership: ‘we need new leadership and a new direction’

In an email to all Liberal caucus members, Liberal MP Wayne Long said the party needs a new leader. Liberal MP Ken McDonald responded to the email by saying he was in agreement.
Caucus disquiet grows after Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection upset as Liberals face ‘catastrophic loss’ with status quo

For the Trudeau government, the writing has been on the wall since November, and ‘despite their best efforts, they haven’t been able to get up off the floor,’ says pollster Greg Lyle.
Canadians want authenticity in their political candidates

Political candidates who come across as caricatures fashioned by consultants and marketing machines will lose. Canadians are tired of it.
Foreign interference bill could have ‘chilling effect’ on freedom of expression, but also praised for economic security benefits

Bill C-70, the Countering Foreign Interference Act, received royal assent on June 20. But the legislation still contains loopholes that allow for secret, foreign interference in nomination contests, political party leadership contests, and elections and policymaking processes, says Democracy Watch’s Duff Conacher.
‘Stark reality’: Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection loss shows no seat safe for Liberals, politicos warn

‘The status quo is untenable, unless [the Liberals] want to get absolutely steamrolled when we head to the next election,’ says former Conservative staffer Shakir Chambers.
Political leaders should not put interests of parties over interests of the country

The House may be adjourned for the summer, but the sensational claims that some parliamentarians have been ‘semi-witting or witting’ players with foreign states to interfere in our politics will continue to hang over this Parliament.