If labour dispute goes ‘sideways’ it could derail Liberal cabinet retreat, says Nanos

If the union decides to ‘kick and scream’ in the face of binding arbitration, it could take steps that would lead to trains not running, says labour law expert Bruce Curran.
Conservatives make good use of their time

Even though the next election is likely over a year away, the Conservatives have been running their fundraising machine at full throttle.
It won’t be easy when the election rolls in

Political parties will exploit our hopes and fears by prepping candidates to ensure our choice is driven by reactionary emotions, not critical analysis. Luckily, we can sift through the noise, and to make an informed decision instead.
Citizens’ services minister ‘unsexiest’ title, but ‘lack of spotlight’ on Beech not bad news politically, say observers

Former Liberal staffer Olivier Cullen says that Terry Beech has quietly taken passports out of the opposition’s ‘arsenal,’ but former NDP staffer Cam Holmstrom says ‘the sad irony is’ the government needed more delivery-focussed ministers from the start.
Conservatives’ TV ad tells us a lot

Conservatives will employ negative ads to get their message across even though the polls indicate they are well ahead in the race. This is a little surprising since the ‘book’ says if your party is way out front, you should probably stick to positive messaging.
‘It could be a great night for the NDP’: potential byelection wins could trigger end of Lib-NDP agreement, say political players

‘If you thought Toronto-St. Paul’s was a world of pain for Justin Trudeau, not doing well in LaSalle-Émard-Verdun would be another devastating blow,’ says pollster Nik Nanos.
U.S. election outcome doesn’t change policy issues, but Trump harder to predict, say pundits, lobbyists

Leadership in North America faces a potential shakeup with the U.S. election coming up in November, and Canada’s federal election coming by October of 2025 at the latest.
‘Going to be a dog fight’: Libs in Newfoundland prepare for toughest electoral fight in a decade without high-profile minister Seamus O’Regan

‘There’s no real heir apparent,’ said former O’Regan campaign manager Charlie Byrne. ‘Seamus was a giant for the province at the cabinet table on the federal scene.’
Former Ottawa city councillor Carol Anne Meehan, two current staffers and one ex-Hill staffer seek Conservative nomination in Ottawa West-Nepean to unseat Liberal MP Vandenbeld

If the Conservatives want a majority government in the next election, they will have to win ridings like Ottawa West-Nepean, says former Hill staffer now public servant Ryan Telford who is seeking the party’s nomination in that riding.
The Poilievres’ mom-and-pop shop

In the sea of political merchandise, Anaida Poilievre’s personally curated line stands out.