Liberal and Conservative safe seats likely to stay, but NDP less certain, say pollsters

There are 111 safe seats across Canada, based on wins by candidates with a margin of 25 per cent of the vote or greater in the previous federal election in 2021.
Poilievre needs to ‘put some new material in the window’ as polls narrow and Carney gains ground, say strategists

Running a campaign focused on Liberals failings and likening Mark Carney to former prime minister Justin Trudeau is ‘probably not enough’ says Conservative strategist Tim Powers.
Barring access to Tory leader’s tour will limit coverage, but the press gallery will find a way, say journos

The Conservatives’ decision breaks with foundational precedent ‘to observe and ask questions,’ says World Press Freedom Canada’s Heather Bakken.
Poilievre faces ‘balancing act’ between Conservative MAGA support and anti-Trump Canadian sentiment: ‘they’re definitely not going to do interviews talking about why they like Donald Trump’

A Conservative source told The Hill Times that ‘at least 75 per cent’ of Conservative MPs, most from Western Canada, ‘support the Republicans in the U.S.’ and have been ‘favourable’ to Donald Trump. But the source also noted that almost all Conservatives do not support Trump’s idea of annexing Canada as the 51st state.
April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

Pierre Poilievre has been spinning his wheels in a feckless attempt to transfer the enmity he so successfully encouraged against Justin Trudeau to Mark Carney. That will be a tough sell.
Can Poilievre capitalize on Carney’s weak spots?

To derail Prime Minister Mark Carney’s upsurge, Conservatives must adjust their strategy—focusing on unity, the social safety net, and practical policies that confront America head-on.
About that memo of unity in the face of a common threat

In times of crisis, don’t disrespect the original peoples of this country by bringing up some racist historical figure in a misguided attempt to build unity. One of the strongest things in this country is Indigenous Peoples. We are part of what makes Canada strong.
Ontario results indicate federal election will be dominated by Trump threats, economic issues, say observers

Only 45 per cent of eligible voters cast a ballot in last month’s provincial election, up only slightly from the record-low turnout in 2022.
Meta ad spending indicates Conservatives ready for election whenever, and whoever the Liberals choose, say strategists

While the NDP can’t compete with the cash other parties have spent on Meta ads, an unorthodox swing is ‘exactly what the underdog needs right now,’ says former digital director Michael Roy.
In the heart of Montreal, Liberals look to maintain dominance and avoid repeat of byelection shock

Liberal leadership candidates faced off in battleground Montreal near the epicentre of their September byelection loss.