Stories by Gwynne Dyer
Peru’s Castillo probably not a Lula, but maybe a Morales
The business elite and the whole middle class are in a flat panic with the election of new president Pedro Castillo, who has a steep learning curve ahead.
We call it democracy now, and it certainly does not mean absolute equality. It does mean that the differences of wealth and power must not become too great, or the whole structure of consent will collapse.
Vital new technologies, from mobile phones and computers to batteries for electric vehicles and energy storage, have now created a huge demand for cobalt, nickel, copper, manganese and rare earths.
We are entering a period where big political and behavioural changes are possible, and we need to take maximum advantage of it.
Even as the British population leads the way in vaccinations, now might not be the time for brave experiments with dropping all pandemic restrictions
The mills of American justice grind even more slowly than those of the South African courts, but the time is coming when Trump will be charged with a serious offence. When that happens, he will do a Zuma.
All the explanations on offer for the death of Jovenel Moise are incredible. Assassins without an escape plan, who according to the security cameras arrived at 2:40 a.m., an hour and a half after Moïse was killed? 
Kabul may fall in a lot less than six months. The Taliban already hold at least half the country and they are currently taking new districts literally every day.
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This is all quite new science, and still open to challenge. But over the past two decades the same pattern of seven stalled peaks and lows over the same regions–‘wave-7’–has lasted seven times for more than two weeks. 
Ethiopia can survive losing Tigray, but the wholesale disintegration of Africa’s second-biggest country would be an almost limitless disaster. 
China was a horrendously impoverished and unequal society in 1921, the official line says, and owes its current prosperity and freedom from foreign rule to the Communist revolution of 1949–but in reality, it had little t
If the Democrats do not resurrect some version of the Voting Rights Act, then the new electoral machinery being installed by the Republican Party will guarantee that it wins the presidential elections of 2024.
Only six months following the military coup, some of the Burmese democrats are already turning to violence. This is a strategic error that will cost them and Burma very dearly.
Nobody is safe until everybody is safe. Relative safety would require having 40 per cent of the world’s population vaccinated by January, and 60 per cent by mid-2022—at a total cost, according to the IMF.
The question of who goes first is fundamentally childish if there is trust, but America has forfeited the right to demand that Iran trust it. 
Why is it Silly Season in June? Because of the U.S. Department of Defence's report on ‘Unidentified Aerial Phenomena’, which is what people who want to sound grown-up say instead of ‘Unidentified Flying Objects.'
The G7 agreement to create a global minimum tax rate on corporate profits is both timid and provisional but it is heartening the gates may be closing on that particular form of tax avoidance.
Tens of millions of Chinese suffered grievously as a result, but perhaps we should put up a modest statue somewhere to The Man Who (inadvertently) Saved The World.
A Dutch court ruled last week that Shell’s declared plan for reducing its carbon emissions was vague, inadequate, and non-binding, and ordered it to cut its total emissions by almost half in the next nine and a half year
The arrival of spring, combined with Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko’s new status as an international skunk, may enable the democratic opposition to revive.
Adam Raz, co-editor of the journal Telem, wrote last week in Haaretz last week that the war should be seen 'not as a war between enemies but as collaboration between colleagues.' I didn’t say all that. Raz did. But I thi
Though China gets most of the attention, there are two dozen other countries that also face projections their populations will halve by 2100, leaving a shrunken workforce in many nations.
Israel’s approach to the current conflict mirrors past wars, one of repeatedly cutting back Hamas’s military capabilities before it gets strong enough to do Israel any serious harm.
The Hamas-Netanyahu 'objective alliance' is based on the fact that Netanyahu hates the idea of a two-state solution just as much as Hamas does. 
The Scottish National Party still falls short of a majority. It will once again form a coalition or at least a voting alliance with the pro-independence Green Party in the Scottish parliament to form a government.There is a weird but widespread custom, especially prevalent among Russian bureaucrats and three-year-olds, in which you aggressively deny the plain truth even while you and your listener are both looking at it.
Apart from Britain and Scandinavia, there was hardly a country in Europe that didn’t get a visit from Napoleon’s armies.
The Holocaust of the European Jews committed by the Nazis was the event that gave the word 'genocide' global currency.
The pandemic is probably going to end the political career of Jair Bolsonaro, Brazil’s egregious president.
We will need new strategies and new technologies to contain the damage, but first—how can we know for sure that we will go through 1.5 degrees C by 2035, or possibly even by 2030?
'Justice' could have been delivered by a single assassin or one mass bombing raid on the camp of Osama bin Laden, al-Qaeda’s leader, tucked away deep in the Afghan hills. That’s how he got a Brexit deal signed with the EU—but to postpone a revolt against that border by ‘Loyalists’ (Northern Irish Protestants), he simply lied and said it wouldn’t operate as a border.