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Horserace narrows while Liberals gain on underlying numbers

The biggest story this month is the Liberal Party and Justin Trudeau, who rebounded in favourability and gained on Tom Mulcair on delivering positive change. The party brand has also closed the gap with the NDP on protecting the middle class.

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After being pushed one way and pulled another, voters ended August very close to where they started at the beginning of the month with the horserace even tighter now than when the campaign began. The Duffy trial motivated opposition supporters and dampened the Conservative opportunity to grow. The leaders’ debate helped the Greens, Liberals and Tories to some degree but didn’t actually hurt the NDP. Most Canadians feel we are at least probably in a recession, but those

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