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Ontario: Region-state? Dependant-State? Kingmaker

Ontario will gain 15 seats in the next federal election; together, Alberta and British Columbia will gain 12. The key to 24 Sussex Drive in 2011 was in Ontario. It will continue to be so for a while.

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  TORONTO—In his Donner prize-winning book in 1998, From Heartland to North American Region State, policy guru Tom Courchene argued that “economic determinism” had shifted Ontario’s traditional interest in the Canadian East-West axis to a continental, North-South, alignment.  In his account, Ontario was no longer the linchpin of Confederation but the “premier” cog in a regional industrial system.  Courchene’s story of Ontario’s fiscal evolution and policy transformation—their backdrops being the cuts in provincial transfer payments by the Mulroney

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