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Incumbency has its benefits, according to elections between 1968 to 2008

A look at the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008.

Recent news stories about conflicts within a few Conservative ridings over the party's new incumbency protection policy, and about new preconditions being imposed on Liberal incumbents to have their nominations protected, once again implicitly raise the question of the electoral benefits of incumbency (see Abbas Rana, The Hill Times, March 16, 2009; Don Martin, National Post, March 27, 2009; Trevor Howell, Calgary Herald, March 29, 2009; and David Akin, http://davidakin.blogware.com, April 6, 2009). The purpose of this piece is to provide data on the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected, based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008. Comparisons are made to the U.S.

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Incumbency has its benefits, according to elections between 1968 to 2008

A look at the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008.

Recent news stories about conflicts within a few Conservative ridings over the party's new incumbency protection policy, and about new preconditions being imposed on Liberal incumbents to have their nominations protected, once again implicitly raise the question of the electoral benefits of incumbency (see Abbas Rana, The Hill Times, March 16, 2009; Don Martin, National Post, March 27, 2009; Trevor Howell, Calgary Herald, March 29, 2009; and David Akin, http://davidakin.blogware.com, April 6, 2009). The purpose of this piece is to provide data on the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected, based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008. Comparisons are made to the U.S.

  

Parliamentary Calendar
Wednesday, September 17, 2014
HILL LIFE & PEOPLE SLIDESHOWS
Lobbyists, MPs get in on the ice bucket challenge for ALS Sept. 3, 2014

Photo courtesy Summa Strategies
The team at Summa Strategies took the ice bucket challenge last week at the Parliament Pub. Summa challenged board members from the Government Relations Institute of Canada (GRIC) to take it next. From left: intern John McHughan, vice-chairman Tim Powers, senior adviser Louis-Alexandre Lanthier, consultant Kate Harrison, vice-president Jim Armour, vice-president Robin MacLachlan, president Tracey Hubley, senior adviser Michele Austin, and consultant Angela Christiano.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
The Government Relations Institute of Canada board members take the ice bucket challenge.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
GRIC directors feel the chill.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
From left: GRIC president Andre Albinati, secretary Joanne Dobson, board members Kevin Desjardins and Alayne Crawford, treasurer Phil Cartwright, and board members Alex Maheu and Jason Kerr.
Photograph provided Hill and Knowlton Strategies
Health Minister Rona Ambrose gets in on the ice bucket challenge.
Photograph courtesy Hill and Knowlton Strategies
NDP Leader Tom Mulcair.
Photograph courtesy Hill and Knowlton Strategies
Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau.

MICHAEL DE ADDER'S TAKE