Monday, Oct. 20, 2014
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Incumbency has its benefits, according to elections between 1968 to 2008

A look at the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008.

Recent news stories about conflicts within a few Conservative ridings over the party's new incumbency protection policy, and about new preconditions being imposed on Liberal incumbents to have their nominations protected, once again implicitly raise the question of the electoral benefits of incumbency (see Abbas Rana, The Hill Times, March 16, 2009; Don Martin, National Post, March 27, 2009; Trevor Howell, Calgary Herald, March 29, 2009; and David Akin, http://davidakin.blogware.com, April 6, 2009). The purpose of this piece is to provide data on the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected, based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008. Comparisons are made to the U.S.

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Incumbency has its benefits, according to elections between 1968 to 2008

A look at the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008.

Recent news stories about conflicts within a few Conservative ridings over the party's new incumbency protection policy, and about new preconditions being imposed on Liberal incumbents to have their nominations protected, once again implicitly raise the question of the electoral benefits of incumbency (see Abbas Rana, The Hill Times, March 16, 2009; Don Martin, National Post, March 27, 2009; Trevor Howell, Calgary Herald, March 29, 2009; and David Akin, http://davidakin.blogware.com, April 6, 2009). The purpose of this piece is to provide data on the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected, based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008. Comparisons are made to the U.S.

  

Parliamentary Calendar
Monday, October 20, 2014
HILL LIFE & PEOPLE SLIDESHOWS
Movie Night on the Hill: Elephant Song's premiere Sept. 29 in Ottawa Oct. 6, 2014

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Elephant Song, directed by Montreal's Charles Binamé, and film crew at the Movie Night on the Hill pictured with sponsors and host, Heritage Minister Shelley Glover.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
The scene at the NAC.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Conservative Sen. Don Meredith.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Heritage Minister Shelley Glover, Telefilm's Michel Roy, and Elephant Song's producer Richard Goudreau.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Husband and wife team, Laura Peck and Barry McLoughlin of McLoughlin Media.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Heritage Minister Shelly Glover and CBC's This Hour Has 22 Minutes' comedian Mark Critch.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Elephant Song's director Charles Binamé.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Telefilm's Michel Roy, Elephant Song's director Charles Binamé, Heritage Minister Shelly Glover, Elephant Song's producer Richard Goudreau and Patrick Roy of Les Films Seville, all pictured at the film's premiere on Sept. 29 at the NAC in Ottawa.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Conservative Senator Don Meredith and Conservative MP Wladyslaw Lizon.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
McLoughlin Media's Laura Peck.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
CPAC's Colette Watson.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Conservative Senator Janice Johnson.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Heather Bradley, director of communications to House Speaker Andrew Scheer.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Conservative MP Mike Wallace.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
CBC TV's This Hour Has 22 Minutes comedian Mark Critch with Elephant Song director Charles Binamé.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
CBC TV's This Hour Has 22 Minutes comedian Mark Critch begins to interview NDP MP Pierre Nantel, his party's culture critic.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
NDP MP Pierre Nantel and CBC's This Hour Has 22 Minutes Mark Critch.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
And another thing. NDP MP Pierre Lantel and This Hour Has 22 Minutes' Mark Critch.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
And another, extra thing, Nantel.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Okay, back off, buddy. Mark Critch really gets into his skit with a good-natured NDP MP Pierre Nantel.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
And I really, really like this movie, Elephant Song. Okay? Got it? Do you hear me, Nantel? Yeah, love it.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
And you better love it too, Nantel. Got that?

MICHAEL DE ADDER'S TAKE