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Incumbency has its benefits, according to elections between 1968 to 2008

A look at the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008.

Recent news stories about conflicts within a few Conservative ridings over the party's new incumbency protection policy, and about new preconditions being imposed on Liberal incumbents to have their nominations protected, once again implicitly raise the question of the electoral benefits of incumbency (see Abbas Rana, The Hill Times, March 16, 2009; Don Martin, National Post, March 27, 2009; Trevor Howell, Calgary Herald, March 29, 2009; and David Akin, http://davidakin.blogware.com, April 6, 2009). The purpose of this piece is to provide data on the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected, based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008. Comparisons are made to the U.S.

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Incumbency has its benefits, according to elections between 1968 to 2008

A look at the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008.

Recent news stories about conflicts within a few Conservative ridings over the party's new incumbency protection policy, and about new preconditions being imposed on Liberal incumbents to have their nominations protected, once again implicitly raise the question of the electoral benefits of incumbency (see Abbas Rana, The Hill Times, March 16, 2009; Don Martin, National Post, March 27, 2009; Trevor Howell, Calgary Herald, March 29, 2009; and David Akin, http://davidakin.blogware.com, April 6, 2009). The purpose of this piece is to provide data on the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected, based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008. Comparisons are made to the U.S.

  

Parliamentary Calendar
Monday, May 4, 2015
HILL LIFE & PEOPLE SLIDESHOWS
Famous 5 Ottawa recognizes Wynne as a nation builder May 1, 2015

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright

Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne arriving at the NAC on Thursday, April 30, 2015. She was being recognized as a nation builder by Famous 5 Ottawa.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright

Premier Wynne making a grand entrance to a standing ovation of Hill women on Thursday, April 30.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright

Ottawa Mayor Jim Watson going in for a handshake with Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright

Famous 5 Ottawa's founding chair Isabel Metcalfe and Malini Giridhar, vice-president of gas supply and business development at Enbridge. Ms Wynne joins a growing list of women who have been recognized for their leadership and courage in advancing equality.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright

Maclean's journalists Paul Wells and Michael Petrou.

MICHAEL DE ADDER'S TAKE