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Incumbency has its benefits, according to elections between 1968 to 2008

A look at the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008.

Recent news stories about conflicts within a few Conservative ridings over the party's new incumbency protection policy, and about new preconditions being imposed on Liberal incumbents to have their nominations protected, once again implicitly raise the question of the electoral benefits of incumbency (see Abbas Rana, The Hill Times, March 16, 2009; Don Martin, National Post, March 27, 2009; Trevor Howell, Calgary Herald, March 29, 2009; and David Akin, http://davidakin.blogware.com, April 6, 2009). The purpose of this piece is to provide data on the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected, based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008. Comparisons are made to the U.S.

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Incumbency has its benefits, according to elections between 1968 to 2008

A look at the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008.

Recent news stories about conflicts within a few Conservative ridings over the party's new incumbency protection policy, and about new preconditions being imposed on Liberal incumbents to have their nominations protected, once again implicitly raise the question of the electoral benefits of incumbency (see Abbas Rana, The Hill Times, March 16, 2009; Don Martin, National Post, March 27, 2009; Trevor Howell, Calgary Herald, March 29, 2009; and David Akin, http://davidakin.blogware.com, April 6, 2009). The purpose of this piece is to provide data on the odds of incumbent MPs being re-elected versus the odds of challengers being elected, based on the 13 federal general elections between 1968 and 2008. Comparisons are made to the U.S.

  

Parliamentary Calendar
Monday, September 1, 2014
HILL LIFE & PEOPLE SLIDESHOWS
Remembering Devon Jacobs Aug. 19, 2014

The Hill Times photo by Jake Wright

Devon Jacobs, right, with Monte Solberg and Jim Armour at the 2012 Manning Networking Conference.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright

Devon Jacobs with Liberal MP Scott Simms.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright

Devon Jacobs with former colleague Jim Patrick, Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and Liberal MP Mauril Belanger at the 2013 all-party party.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright

Devon Jacobs, centre, with Conservative MPs (from left) Susan Truppe, Colin Carrie, Ted Opitz, Lynne Yelich and Eve Adams.

MICHAEL DE ADDER'S TAKE