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Polls are king in U.S., while in Canada they're derided: Grenier

'In the U.S., everyone seems to be celebrating the rise of the data wonk, yet in Canada, polling failures [are] pushing [the] opposite way. Polling aggregators have stunk in Canada [because] of bad polls from which to aggregate. Puts wind in [the] sails of chitchat pundits,' says Kevin Milligan.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Polling world: Meanwhile, in Canada, polling has been going through one of its darkest periods in recent memory. First there was the missed call in Alberta, when the Progressive Conservatives romped to a landslide majority victory instead of the defeat at the hands of the upstart Wildrose that was supposed to happen. In Quebec, the polls suggested that the only question going into voting day was whether the Parti Québécois would win a majority or not. Instead, Jean Charest’s Liberals lost power by only four seats. And then there was British Columbia, where polls conducted the day before the vote still gave the New Democrats an insurmountable lead—and subsequent analysis showed that adjustments for turnout would have only done away with some of the error.

 

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Polls are king in U.S., while in Canada they're derided: Grenier

'In the U.S., everyone seems to be celebrating the rise of the data wonk, yet in Canada, polling failures [are] pushing [the] opposite way. Polling aggregators have stunk in Canada [because] of bad polls from which to aggregate. Puts wind in [the] sails of chitchat pundits,' says Kevin Milligan.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Polling world: Meanwhile, in Canada, polling has been going through one of its darkest periods in recent memory. First there was the missed call in Alberta, when the Progressive Conservatives romped to a landslide majority victory instead of the defeat at the hands of the upstart Wildrose that was supposed to happen. In Quebec, the polls suggested that the only question going into voting day was whether the Parti Québécois would win a majority or not. Instead, Jean Charest’s Liberals lost power by only four seats. And then there was British Columbia, where polls conducted the day before the vote still gave the New Democrats an insurmountable lead—and subsequent analysis showed that adjustments for turnout would have only done away with some of the error.

 

  
Parliamentary Calendar
Wednesday, December 31, 1969
HILL LIFE & PEOPLE SLIDESHOWS
World Press Photo 15 exhibit premiere at the Canadian War Museum, July 22 July 24, 2015

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
A woman takes in the third prize for contemporary issues single photos by Italian photographer Fulvio Bugani. His series is called 'Waria: Being a Different Muslim.'
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Cees Cole, Netherlands ambassador to Canada.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Mark O’Neill, president and CEO at the Canadian War and History museums.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
World Press Photo representative Noortje Gorter.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Photographer Chris Roussakis, Hill Times reporter Rachel Aiello, photographer Cynthia Münster and Hill Times online editor Bea Vongdouangchanh.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
The music from these two string musicians flowed through the gallery all evening.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Jeanine DeVos taking in the exhibit.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Mark O’Neill, president and CEO at the Canadian War and History museums, with Silvie Morel.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Cynthia and Yves Bled.

MICHAEL DE ADDER'S TAKE



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