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Polls are king in U.S., while in Canada they're derided: Grenier

'In the U.S., everyone seems to be celebrating the rise of the data wonk, yet in Canada, polling failures [are] pushing [the] opposite way. Polling aggregators have stunk in Canada [because] of bad polls from which to aggregate. Puts wind in [the] sails of chitchat pundits,' says Kevin Milligan.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Polling world: Meanwhile, in Canada, polling has been going through one of its darkest periods in recent memory. First there was the missed call in Alberta, when the Progressive Conservatives romped to a landslide majority victory instead of the defeat at the hands of the upstart Wildrose that was supposed to happen. In Quebec, the polls suggested that the only question going into voting day was whether the Parti Québécois would win a majority or not. Instead, Jean Charest’s Liberals lost power by only four seats. And then there was British Columbia, where polls conducted the day before the vote still gave the New Democrats an insurmountable lead—and subsequent analysis showed that adjustments for turnout would have only done away with some of the error.

 

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Polls are king in U.S., while in Canada they're derided: Grenier

'In the U.S., everyone seems to be celebrating the rise of the data wonk, yet in Canada, polling failures [are] pushing [the] opposite way. Polling aggregators have stunk in Canada [because] of bad polls from which to aggregate. Puts wind in [the] sails of chitchat pundits,' says Kevin Milligan.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Polling world: Meanwhile, in Canada, polling has been going through one of its darkest periods in recent memory. First there was the missed call in Alberta, when the Progressive Conservatives romped to a landslide majority victory instead of the defeat at the hands of the upstart Wildrose that was supposed to happen. In Quebec, the polls suggested that the only question going into voting day was whether the Parti Québécois would win a majority or not. Instead, Jean Charest’s Liberals lost power by only four seats. And then there was British Columbia, where polls conducted the day before the vote still gave the New Democrats an insurmountable lead—and subsequent analysis showed that adjustments for turnout would have only done away with some of the error.

 

  

Parliamentary Calendar
Friday, February 27, 2015
HILL LIFE & PEOPLE SLIDESHOWS
Hill media, staffers send off PMO's Jason MacDonald at the Métropolitain Brasserie's bar Feb. 20, 2015

The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Bloomberg's Theo Argitis and PMO chief of staff Ray Novak.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
The PMO's outgoing Director of Communications Jason MacDonald.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
PMO executive assistant Stephen Staley, PMO special assistant Myles Atwood, and Tory Party national campaign manager Jenni Byrne.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
PMO deputy chief of staff Howard Anglin and Postmedia's Stephen Maher.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
The Ottawa Citizen's Jason Fekete with the man of the hour, Jason MacDonald.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
The Toronto Star's Tonda MacCharles.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
CBC's Chris Hall and Melissa Lantsman, Finance Minister Joe Oliver's director of communications.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Michael White, Finance Minister Joe Oliver's policy director.

MICHAEL DE ADDER'S TAKE