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Polls are king in U.S., while in Canada they're derided: Grenier

'In the U.S., everyone seems to be celebrating the rise of the data wonk, yet in Canada, polling failures [are] pushing [the] opposite way. Polling aggregators have stunk in Canada [because] of bad polls from which to aggregate. Puts wind in [the] sails of chitchat pundits,' says Kevin Milligan.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Polling world: Meanwhile, in Canada, polling has been going through one of its darkest periods in recent memory. First there was the missed call in Alberta, when the Progressive Conservatives romped to a landslide majority victory instead of the defeat at the hands of the upstart Wildrose that was supposed to happen. In Quebec, the polls suggested that the only question going into voting day was whether the Parti Québécois would win a majority or not. Instead, Jean Charest’s Liberals lost power by only four seats. And then there was British Columbia, where polls conducted the day before the vote still gave the New Democrats an insurmountable lead—and subsequent analysis showed that adjustments for turnout would have only done away with some of the error.

 

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Polls are king in U.S., while in Canada they're derided: Grenier

'In the U.S., everyone seems to be celebrating the rise of the data wonk, yet in Canada, polling failures [are] pushing [the] opposite way. Polling aggregators have stunk in Canada [because] of bad polls from which to aggregate. Puts wind in [the] sails of chitchat pundits,' says Kevin Milligan.

The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Polling world: Meanwhile, in Canada, polling has been going through one of its darkest periods in recent memory. First there was the missed call in Alberta, when the Progressive Conservatives romped to a landslide majority victory instead of the defeat at the hands of the upstart Wildrose that was supposed to happen. In Quebec, the polls suggested that the only question going into voting day was whether the Parti Québécois would win a majority or not. Instead, Jean Charest’s Liberals lost power by only four seats. And then there was British Columbia, where polls conducted the day before the vote still gave the New Democrats an insurmountable lead—and subsequent analysis showed that adjustments for turnout would have only done away with some of the error.

 

  

Parliamentary Calendar
Wednesday, September 17, 2014
HILL LIFE & PEOPLE SLIDESHOWS
Lobbyists, MPs get in on the ice bucket challenge for ALS Sept. 3, 2014

Photo courtesy Summa Strategies
The team at Summa Strategies took the ice bucket challenge last week at the Parliament Pub. Summa challenged board members from the Government Relations Institute of Canada (GRIC) to take it next. From left: intern John McHughan, vice-chairman Tim Powers, senior adviser Louis-Alexandre Lanthier, consultant Kate Harrison, vice-president Jim Armour, vice-president Robin MacLachlan, president Tracey Hubley, senior adviser Michele Austin, and consultant Angela Christiano.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
The Government Relations Institute of Canada board members take the ice bucket challenge.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
GRIC directors feel the chill.
The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
From left: GRIC president Andre Albinati, secretary Joanne Dobson, board members Kevin Desjardins and Alayne Crawford, treasurer Phil Cartwright, and board members Alex Maheu and Jason Kerr.
Photograph provided Hill and Knowlton Strategies
Health Minister Rona Ambrose gets in on the ice bucket challenge.
Photograph courtesy Hill and Knowlton Strategies
NDP Leader Tom Mulcair.
Photograph courtesy Hill and Knowlton Strategies
Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau.

MICHAEL DE ADDER'S TAKE