Saturday, Feb. 28, 2015
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How the Ontario election polls were so wrong yet so right

The perception remained that once again the polls blew it. That’s a bit harsh. The truth is the polls accurately captured the initial skepticism towards the Liberal Party and enthusiasm for the PCs. During the campaign, this skepticism was replaced by an even more profound skepticism of the promises of the PC party. Faced with a choice between the devil that they knew, and trusted a bit more, and one that they didn't, Ontario voters chose the former.

The Hill Times photographs by Jake Wright
While admittedly there was a lot of scatter in the data and some pollsters claim they caught the Liberal trend near the end, the media consensus on election day was that the race between Kathleen Wynne's Liberals and Tim Hudak's Progressive Conservatives was too close to call.

 

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How the Ontario election polls were so wrong yet so right

The perception remained that once again the polls blew it. That’s a bit harsh. The truth is the polls accurately captured the initial skepticism towards the Liberal Party and enthusiasm for the PCs. During the campaign, this skepticism was replaced by an even more profound skepticism of the promises of the PC party. Faced with a choice between the devil that they knew, and trusted a bit more, and one that they didn't, Ontario voters chose the former.

The Hill Times photographs by Jake Wright
While admittedly there was a lot of scatter in the data and some pollsters claim they caught the Liberal trend near the end, the media consensus on election day was that the race between Kathleen Wynne's Liberals and Tim Hudak's Progressive Conservatives was too close to call.

 

  

Parliamentary Calendar
Saturday, February 28, 2015
HILL LIFE & PEOPLE SLIDESHOWS
Hill media, staffers send off PMO's Jason MacDonald at the Métropolitain Brasserie's bar Feb. 20, 2015

The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Bloomberg's Theo Argitis and PMO chief of staff Ray Novak.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
The PMO's outgoing Director of Communications Jason MacDonald.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
PMO executive assistant Stephen Staley, PMO special assistant Myles Atwood, and Tory Party national campaign manager Jenni Byrne.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
PMO deputy chief of staff Howard Anglin and Postmedia's Stephen Maher.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
The Ottawa Citizen's Jason Fekete with the man of the hour, Jason MacDonald.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
The Toronto Star's Tonda MacCharles.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
CBC's Chris Hall and Melissa Lantsman, Finance Minister Joe Oliver's director of communications.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Michael White, Finance Minister Joe Oliver's policy director.

MICHAEL DE ADDER'S TAKE