Public opinion polls point to opportunity for Trudeau federal Liberals

With greater attention comes greater risk for the Liberals, but also an opportunity not to be missed.

Polls remain mixed for Mulcair after one year

The danger in underestimating Trudeau

The gamble is not in banking on Trudeau to resurrect the Liberal Party—it is in discounting his appeal.

Political consensus in Quebec goes missing

Quebecers split at both the provincial and federal levels.

Grenier: after a rough year, how might the polls do in 2013?

The polls need a good year and 2013 could be it.

Grenier: Tories have reason to worry about Liberal gains

The New Democrats are not the only ones losing ground due to surging Liberal support.

Provincial leadership races highlight challenges of federal Grits

Trailing in the polls throughout the country, the provincial and federal Liberals share common problems.

For polls to tell us anything, they need to be put into proper context

Did Quebec’s election polls lie? Grenier weighs in to polling discussion

The results of the Quebec election provide yet another lesson in how polls need to be treated with caution. But dismissing them is not the answer.

Quebec election poses problem for federal parties

Little more than a week remains before Quebecers vote, and the race remains a close three-way contest.

Greens have come long way, but still have further to go

An EKOS poll pegs Green support at 10 per cent, but has Elizabeth May’s party really made that much of a leap forward?

Lessons of hypothetical polls for Trudeau leadership bid

Polls indicate that a Justin Trudeau-led Liberal Party could be instantly competitive, but can we learn anything from these sorts of ‘what-if’ polls?

Three years out, polls still have something to say

With an election years away, the relevance of polls can be questioned. But even well before the next writ drops, polls have their place.

Blaming the polls misses mark in Alberta

Easy as it is, blaming the pollsters for blowing the election call in Alberta is as superficial as the polls themselves.

Incumbents challenged from right in provincial showdowns

In Alberta and Quebec, incumbent governments are set to face fierce opposition from upstart parties on the right. But that is not where the similarities end.

Regional shifts suggest new battlegrounds

Since the May 2011 election, new battle lines are being drawn at the federal and provincial levels.

Prior to the 2011 federal election, polls held firm for months and even years

Now, very little is recognizable in the political landscape today.

Political theatre in the provinces with majority in Ottawa

Despite incumbent governments being re-elected nationwide, British Columbia and Quebec are ripe for change.

Provincial elections muddy methodological waters

Four provincial elections show how different polling methods can work.

Polls have been surprisingly unchanged

Despite a turbulent five months both inside and outside the country, political support remains virtually unchanged since the May 2 election.