Wednesday, May 16, 2012
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POLLING & POLLSTERS
Blaming the polls misses mark in Alberta

Easy as it is, blaming the pollsters for blowing the election call in Alberta is as superficial as the polls themselves.


  
Incumbents challenged from right in provincial showdowns

In Alberta and Quebec, incumbent governments are set to face fierce opposition from upstart parties on the right. But that is not where the similarities end.


  
Regional shifts suggest new battlegrounds

Since the May 2011 election, new battle lines are being drawn at the federal and provincial levels.


  
Prior to the 2011 federal election, polls held firm for months and even years

Now, very little is recognizable in the political landscape today.


  
Political theatre in the provinces with majority in Ottawa

Despite incumbent governments being re-elected nationwide, British Columbia and Quebec are ripe for change.


  
Provincial elections muddy methodological waters

Four provincial elections show how different polling methods can work.


  
Polls have been surprisingly unchanged

Despite a turbulent five months both inside and outside the country, political support remains virtually unchanged since the May 2 election.


  
Tory majority in Ottawa and provinces could be coming

For the first time since the 1980s, by the end of 2011 a Conservative majority in Ottawa could be joined by right-of-centre governments in a majority of Canada's provincial legislatures.


  
Holy! Moly! What's with the polls?

Polls have been getting a lot of attention in this federal election campaign, and not only because of their sometimes eye-popping results.


  
Harper and Duceppe well-positioned as campaign begins

Conservative gains in Ontario and Newfoundland put them ahead of the game, but the Bloc Québécois will make a majority government difficult to achieve.


  
Ontario and Quebec the keys to Tory gains

A comparison of recent polls to those conducted two months ago indicates that the Conservatives have made significant gains on the Liberals in Ontario and Quebec. But have the Tories peaked too soon?


  
Election ready, but election willing?

The New Democrats say they are ready for an election, but are they ready to topple the government?


  
Prime Minister Harper's Conservatives extend their lead, for now

If their numbers hold, the Conservatives will be in a terrific position for a spring or late-winter election. The party tends to poll better after the writ drops, meaning the Conservatives could extend their lead to more than 11 points and finally get the


  
Death, taxes, and a five-point Conservative lead

The longer this general stability lasts, the more difficult it will be for any party to make their numbers move.


  

HILL LIFE & PEOPLE SLIDESHOWS
Peter Milliken portait unveiling May 9, 2012

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The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Former House Speaker Peter Milliken poses with artist Paul Wyse, who painted his portrait.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Conservative MPs Ed Holder, Patrick Brown and Rod Bruinooge.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Hill and Knowlton's Don Boudria.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Former Senator Marcel Prud'homme and former Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Ottawa Mayor Jim Watson.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Former prime minister Joe Clark and Senate Speaker Noel Kinsella.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Liberal Senator Joseph Day, Citizenship and Immigration Minister Jason Kenney and Peter Milliken.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
The crowd.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Bob Rae, Government House Leader Peter Van Loan, Peter Milliken, Senate Speaker Noel Kinsella, Thomas Mulcair.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Peter Milliken, Senate Speaker Noel Kinsella, NDP leader Thomas Mulcair.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Peter Milliken and House Speaker Andrew Scheer unveil the portrait.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Peter Milliken and the portrait.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Artist Paul Wyse.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Liberal interim leader Bob Rae, Government House Leader Peter Van Loan, House Speaker Andrew Scheer.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
NDP MP Denise Savoie and Peter Milliken.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
The portrait gets taken out to be hung.
The Hill Times Photograph by Jake Wright
Liberal Senator David Smith.

MICHAEL DE ADDER'S TAKE
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