If the premier aborts next month’s campaign take-off, the window for an election could be closed for at least a year.
In politics, few developments have more potential to reawaken the independent streak of a government MP than being repeatedly left out of a Cabinet shuffle.
John Manley and Mark Carney both have the kind of credentials that would put fear in Conservative hearts. It’s the Conservative Party’s worst-case scenario, says Chantal Hébert.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper needs a trio on the energy/environment/aboriginal front that is more into bridge building than bridge burning.
With only a few exceptions, the areas hardest hit by the proposed Conservative changes to the treatment of frequent employment insurance users sit squarely in opposition territory.
Quebec’s national conversation had already been in the process of shifting from a dialogue of the deaf over its constitutional status to a debate between progressives and conservatives.
The seeds of discontent that have sprung up in Quebec this spring could still find fertile soil to root themselves in elsewhere in Canada.
The two battles are being fought on different fields over different issues. But they are flip sides of the same bad coin: that of a debased democracy.
And a rare one that Stephen Harper can’t afford to ignore. They share the same home base and Alberta is central to his government.
Quebec is the one landscape where Mulcair’s popularity is likely to endure longer than the average post-leadership honeymoon.
But beyond Baird, Flaherty, Kenney and Moore, this Cabinet often can’t seem to steer clear of trouble.
In short, he is getting out of the way and paving the way for the private sector to deliver for years to come, with an estimated $500-billion in resource projects coming down the road over the next decade.
Christy Clark can dance and Alison Redford can bull ahead. Danielle Smith will shortly know if her eastward gaze captures the imagination of Alberta voters.
If Tom Mulcair becomes the first Quebec leader of the NDP, it will be because a sizeable contingent of New Democrats from B.C. will have brought him over the top.
The bottom line is that the Conservative core vote is more solid than that of either of the other two main parties.
Canadians may never know all that they should about what took place in the muddy trenches of the last federal campaign. But if they ever get the beginning of a definitive answer, it will come from Elections Canada or the RCMP or even the media, and not from the warring parties in the Commons.
At 9:52 a.m., the first calls came in of shots fired at the National War Memorial. Five people tried to save Cpl. Nathan Cirillo's life who was standing guard at the National War Memorial. He later died of gunshot wounds.
The people who tried save Cpl. Nathan Cirillo's life were later identified as Margaret Lerhe, a nurse on her way to work at the Elizabeth Bruyere Hospital; another corporal, a soldier, National Defence employee and former Naval officer Martin Magnan; and lawyer Barbara Winters who told Cpl. Cirillo that his family loved him while he lay dying.
People running from Parliament Hill shortly after the gunfight in Centre Block where gunman Michael Zihaf-Bibeau was shot dead by House Sgt.-at-Arms Kevin Vickers, House security officers, and the RCMP.
Police pictured at the corner of Metcalfe and Slater streets in Ottawa later in the day on Oct. 22.
Liberal Sen. Jim Munson in a lockdown in Room 257 East Block doing a media interview.
NDP MPs, staffers, and others locked down in Room 257 East Block, watching the events unfold on one small laptop.
NDP MP Wayne Marston, pictured shortly after running from Parliament Hill.
More police officers on Metcalfe Street, just down the street from Parliament Hill.
Conservative MP Maurice Vellacott does a media interview on Metcalfe Street.
A tourist who witnessed the shooting talks to police shortly after Cpl. Nathan Cirillo was shot.
Police on Sparks Street outside The Hill Times' office.
NDP MPs Rosane Doré Lefebvre, far left, Hélène Laverdiere, and NDP MP Charlie Angus, pictured shortly after the shooting on the Hill and the National War Memorial.
Journalists and others leaving Parliament Hill, shortly after the shooting.
CTV Hill reporter Richard Madan and CBC Radio reporter Susan Lunn.
NDP MP Charlie Angus does an interview on Metcalfe Street later in the afternoon.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper, pictured that evening, addressing the nation about the shocking killing of a soldier killed at the National War Memorial and later the killing of the man in a gunfight in Centre Block.
The next day in the Hot Room, the Parliamentary Press Gallery. Gallery clerks Collin Lafrance and Normand Gagnon.
Flowers the next morning, Oct. 23, at the National War Memorial.
People bring flowers to the War Memorial the day after, Oct. 23.
A woman bringing flowers is escorted by police to the National War Memorial on Oct. 23.
People pay their respects at the National War Memorial on Oct. 23.
Conservative MPs Mark Warawa and Scott Reid return to the Hill the day after the shootings.
Conservative MP James Bezan, parliamentary secretary to the minister of national defence, is interviewed the following day, Oct. 23.
An RCMP officer stands guard on Parliament Hill on Oct. 23.
Police pictured outside the Chateau Laurier Hotel the following day, Oct. 23.
Justice Minister Peter MacKay, pictured in the Commons foyer on Oct. 23, taking questions from reporters.
Minister of State for Small Business Maxime Bernier, being scrummed on Oct. 23.
Parliamentary Press Gallery clerk Normand Gagnon, pictured on Oct. 23.
House Sgt.-at-Arms Kevin Vickers, pictured on Oct. 23 in the Speaker's Parade. Mr. Vickers is being credited as the one whose bullets killed gunman Michael Zihaf-Bibeau who stormed the Centre Block with a hunting rifle.
NDP MP Paul Dewar, pictured, and many other MPs, visited the National War Memorial the following day, Oct. 23.
Just outside the Library of Parliament, where Michael Zihaf-Bibeau was finally shot and killed after a gunfight in Centre Block.
Former Reform Party leader Preston Manning was on Parliament Hill on Oct. 23, the day after the shooting.
The Wire Report reporter Peter Henderson, pictured on Oct. 23, doing an interview with CNN. He had been locking up his bike on Sparks Street on the morning of the shooting at the National War Memorial and was one of the first reporters on the scene.