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Greg Lyle

Greg Lyle is the founder and president of Innovative Research Group Inc., a national public opinion research firm.

What will each party need to do to win the Ontario election?

  • The Ontario election campaign has officially begun, with our latest Innovative Research Group online survey Ontario voters showing the Ontario PC Party holding a
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | May 9, 2022
The Innovative Research Group's latest online survey of Ontario voters shows Doug Ford's Ontario PC Party holding a healthy lead at 37 per cent, nine-points ahead of Steven Del Duca's Liberals and 13-points ahead of Andrea Horwath's NDP. But a week is a long time in politics and there are four weeks to go before election. So what are the opportunities and threats for each party as the election unfolds? The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade and courtesy of Facebook

What will each party need to do to win the Ontario election?

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | May 9, 2022
  • The Ontario election campaign has officially begun, with our latest Innovative Research Group online survey Ontario voters showing the Ontario PC Party holding a

What will each party need to do to win the Ontario election?

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | May 9, 2022
  • The Ontario election campaign has officially begun, with our latest Innovative Research Group online survey Ontario voters showing the Ontario PC Party holding a
The Innovative Research Group's latest online survey of Ontario voters shows Doug Ford's Ontario PC Party holding a healthy lead at 37 per cent, nine-points ahead of Steven Del Duca's Liberals and 13-points ahead of Andrea Horwath's NDP. But a week is a long time in politics and there are four weeks to go before election. So what are the opportunities and threats for each party as the election unfolds? The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade and courtesy of Facebook

For Canada’s political leadership, the COVID rally is fraying: now what?

  • VANCOUVER—If the loss of the UN Security Council vote marked the beginning of the end for the federal government’s COVID-19 rally, the WE controversy
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | August 3, 2020
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, outgoing Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet, and Green Party Parliamentary Leader Elizabeth May. The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade

For Canada’s political leadership, the COVID rally is fraying: now what?

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | August 3, 2020
  • VANCOUVER—If the loss of the UN Security Council vote marked the beginning of the end for the federal government’s COVID-19 rally, the WE controversy

For Canada’s political leadership, the COVID rally is fraying: now what?

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | August 3, 2020
  • VANCOUVER—If the loss of the UN Security Council vote marked the beginning of the end for the federal government’s COVID-19 rally, the WE controversy
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, outgoing Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet, and Green Party Parliamentary Leader Elizabeth May. The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade

Polling evidence favours Liberal victory: Lyle

  • VANCOUVER—After a tumultuous, negative, and generally unsatisfying election, the two main parties are limping to a photo-finish. While it is close enough that I
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | October 21, 2019
At the end of the campaign, a Liberal advantage in opinion polls in Ontario may be enough to give Justin Trudeau's party another election victory. The Hill Times photograph by Sam Garcia

Polling evidence favours Liberal victory: Lyle

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | October 21, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—After a tumultuous, negative, and generally unsatisfying election, the two main parties are limping to a photo-finish. While it is close enough that I

Polling evidence favours Liberal victory: Lyle

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | October 21, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—After a tumultuous, negative, and generally unsatisfying election, the two main parties are limping to a photo-finish. While it is close enough that I
At the end of the campaign, a Liberal advantage in opinion polls in Ontario may be enough to give Justin Trudeau's party another election victory. The Hill Times photograph by Sam Garcia

Scare tactics still a winning strategy for Grits, Tories

  • VANCOUVER—It has been an eventful campaign so far, but the question now is, where will this all take us? Both Jagmeet Singh and Yves-François
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | October 14, 2019
Ontario PC Premier Doug Ford, pictured at the Manning Networking Conference in Ottawa in March, has so far refused to take bait from the federal Liberals to wade into this election, which polling shows could help the Grits. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

Scare tactics still a winning strategy for Grits, Tories

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | October 14, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—It has been an eventful campaign so far, but the question now is, where will this all take us? Both Jagmeet Singh and Yves-François

Scare tactics still a winning strategy for Grits, Tories

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | October 14, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—It has been an eventful campaign so far, but the question now is, where will this all take us? Both Jagmeet Singh and Yves-François
Ontario PC Premier Doug Ford, pictured at the Manning Networking Conference in Ottawa in March, has so far refused to take bait from the federal Liberals to wade into this election, which polling shows could help the Grits. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

French debate puts Bloc in kingmaker territory

  • VANCOUVER—Despite the dramatic events of this campaign, there has been relatively little movement in the key battlegrounds. The Conservatives will likely win more rural
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | October 7, 2019
More than four in 10 of those surveyed by Innovative Research across Canada said they had heard about TVA's French language leaders debate, and more of them said that Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau exceeded expectations than said they did not. Screencapture of TVA Oct. 2, 2019 federal leaders debate

French debate puts Bloc in kingmaker territory

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | October 7, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—Despite the dramatic events of this campaign, there has been relatively little movement in the key battlegrounds. The Conservatives will likely win more rural

French debate puts Bloc in kingmaker territory

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | October 7, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—Despite the dramatic events of this campaign, there has been relatively little movement in the key battlegrounds. The Conservatives will likely win more rural
More than four in 10 of those surveyed by Innovative Research across Canada said they had heard about TVA's French language leaders debate, and more of them said that Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau exceeded expectations than said they did not. Screencapture of TVA Oct. 2, 2019 federal leaders debate

Plurality of voters approves of Trudeau’s handling of blackface controversy: poll

  • The Liberals have made it through the blackface controversy with their lead intact. There is no significant change in Liberal support at the national
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 30, 2019
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau apologized on board his campaign aircraft on Sept. 18 after news broke that he had worn brownface at a party for a school where he was working as a teacher in 2001. Screen-capture of the CBC

Plurality of voters approves of Trudeau’s handling of blackface controversy: poll

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 30, 2019
  • The Liberals have made it through the blackface controversy with their lead intact. There is no significant change in Liberal support at the national

Plurality of voters approves of Trudeau’s handling of blackface controversy: poll

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 30, 2019
  • The Liberals have made it through the blackface controversy with their lead intact. There is no significant change in Liberal support at the national
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau apologized on board his campaign aircraft on Sept. 18 after news broke that he had worn brownface at a party for a school where he was working as a teacher in 2001. Screen-capture of the CBC

If voters see a common theme, Trudeau’s blackface controversy will change the campaign: Greg Lyle

  • VANCOUVER—It is true that campaigns matter—just ask former Wildrose leader Danielle Smith. It is also true that most campaign controversies, even ones as juicy
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 20, 2019
'It was a terrible idea, it was something that minimizes and takes advantage of a reality that I have not had to live with,' Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said of his decision to wear blackface and brownface earlier in his life during a press conference last week. Screen-capture of Justin Trudeau's Twitter account

If voters see a common theme, Trudeau’s blackface controversy will change the campaign: Greg Lyle

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 20, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—It is true that campaigns matter—just ask former Wildrose leader Danielle Smith. It is also true that most campaign controversies, even ones as juicy

If voters see a common theme, Trudeau’s blackface controversy will change the campaign: Greg Lyle

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 20, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—It is true that campaigns matter—just ask former Wildrose leader Danielle Smith. It is also true that most campaign controversies, even ones as juicy
'It was a terrible idea, it was something that minimizes and takes advantage of a reality that I have not had to live with,' Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said of his decision to wear blackface and brownface earlier in his life during a press conference last week. Screen-capture of Justin Trudeau's Twitter account

Liberals win when they’re compared to alternatives, but lose when their record is in the news

  • VANCOUVER—It would be nice if every vote mattered the same, but it isn’t true. There are 150 seats where we already have a pretty
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 16, 2019
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, left, enters this fall's election campaign with a stronger base of voters than former prime minister Stephen Harper did prior to his loss in 2015, but Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer has an advantage with voters struggling to reach their Canadian dream, writes Greg Lyle. The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade

Liberals win when they’re compared to alternatives, but lose when their record is in the news

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 16, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—It would be nice if every vote mattered the same, but it isn’t true. There are 150 seats where we already have a pretty

Liberals win when they’re compared to alternatives, but lose when their record is in the news

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 16, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—It would be nice if every vote mattered the same, but it isn’t true. There are 150 seats where we already have a pretty
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, left, enters this fall's election campaign with a stronger base of voters than former prime minister Stephen Harper did prior to his loss in 2015, but Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer has an advantage with voters struggling to reach their Canadian dream, writes Greg Lyle. The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade

Counting seats, not votes, has Liberals sitting pretty

  • VANCOUVER—If you are focused on the national horserace numbers, you may be missing the story of this election. If you look closely, not only
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 9, 2019
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, and Green Party Leader Elizabeth May. The Liberal Party has lost some of its lustre in ridings across the country, but it still has a good chance to capture a majority of the seats in the fall election. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

Counting seats, not votes, has Liberals sitting pretty

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 9, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—If you are focused on the national horserace numbers, you may be missing the story of this election. If you look closely, not only

Counting seats, not votes, has Liberals sitting pretty

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 9, 2019
  • VANCOUVER—If you are focused on the national horserace numbers, you may be missing the story of this election. If you look closely, not only
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, and Green Party Leader Elizabeth May. The Liberal Party has lost some of its lustre in ridings across the country, but it still has a good chance to capture a majority of the seats in the fall election. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

Election is Liberals’ to lose: Greg Lyle

  • The 2019 federal election begins with the odds favouring the Liberals. While it is not difficult to imagine losing scenarios for them in a
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 2, 2019
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks to Liberal Party candidates at an event in Ottawa in July. The Liberals have a good shot at winning a second-consecutive term in government, despite a series of major and minor scandals over the past four years. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

Election is Liberals’ to lose: Greg Lyle

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 2, 2019
  • The 2019 federal election begins with the odds favouring the Liberals. While it is not difficult to imagine losing scenarios for them in a

Election is Liberals’ to lose: Greg Lyle

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | September 2, 2019
  • The 2019 federal election begins with the odds favouring the Liberals. While it is not difficult to imagine losing scenarios for them in a
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks to Liberal Party candidates at an event in Ottawa in July. The Liberals have a good shot at winning a second-consecutive term in government, despite a series of major and minor scandals over the past four years. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

Passions, not reason, will determine the 2019 federal election

  • Emotions trump reason. This isn’t news to anyone who has read or heard about books such as Nudge and Thinking Fast and Slow. More
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | August 26, 2019
Polling shows that Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer and Liberal Prime Minister Justin could both profit by running negative campaigns against their opponents in the lead up to this fall's election. The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade

Passions, not reason, will determine the 2019 federal election

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | August 26, 2019
  • Emotions trump reason. This isn’t news to anyone who has read or heard about books such as Nudge and Thinking Fast and Slow. More

Passions, not reason, will determine the 2019 federal election

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | August 26, 2019
  • Emotions trump reason. This isn’t news to anyone who has read or heard about books such as Nudge and Thinking Fast and Slow. More
Polling shows that Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer and Liberal Prime Minister Justin could both profit by running negative campaigns against their opponents in the lead up to this fall's election. The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade

Federal Liberals alienating both sides in Kinder Morgan fight

  • VANCOUVER—It’s not the break-in, it’s the cover up. The reference is to Watergate. The break-in at the Watergate office complex in the early 1970s
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | May 21, 2018
There is a political price to be paid for this disapproval. One third (33%) of Canadians say they are less likely to vote Liberal because of the way they have handled the issue. Just 12% say more likely. The damage is almost equally strong among strong general supporters of oil and gas projects (53% less likely) and strong general opponents of those projects (58% less likely to vote Liberal). The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

Federal Liberals alienating both sides in Kinder Morgan fight

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | May 21, 2018
  • VANCOUVER—It’s not the break-in, it’s the cover up. The reference is to Watergate. The break-in at the Watergate office complex in the early 1970s

Federal Liberals alienating both sides in Kinder Morgan fight

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | May 21, 2018
  • VANCOUVER—It’s not the break-in, it’s the cover up. The reference is to Watergate. The break-in at the Watergate office complex in the early 1970s
There is a political price to be paid for this disapproval. One third (33%) of Canadians say they are less likely to vote Liberal because of the way they have handled the issue. Just 12% say more likely. The damage is almost equally strong among strong general supporters of oil and gas projects (53% less likely) and strong general opponents of those projects (58% less likely to vote Liberal). The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

The Conservative dilemma: moral victories or political victories?

  • This weekend is the annual Manning Networking Conference. Conservatives from across Canada gather in Ottawa to talk about the issues, opportunities and challenges facing
Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | February 9, 2018
Stella Ambler, Rachael Harder, Lisa Raitt, and Denise Siele take part in a panel on feminism and conservatism at the Manning Networking Conference in Ottawa on Feb. 9, 2018. Rachel Curran, centre, is the moderator. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

The Conservative dilemma: moral victories or political victories?

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | February 9, 2018
  • This weekend is the annual Manning Networking Conference. Conservatives from across Canada gather in Ottawa to talk about the issues, opportunities and challenges facing

The Conservative dilemma: moral victories or political victories?

Opinion | BY GREG LYLE | February 9, 2018
  • This weekend is the annual Manning Networking Conference. Conservatives from across Canada gather in Ottawa to talk about the issues, opportunities and challenges facing
Stella Ambler, Rachael Harder, Lisa Raitt, and Denise Siele take part in a panel on feminism and conservatism at the Manning Networking Conference in Ottawa on Feb. 9, 2018. Rachel Curran, centre, is the moderator. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

Expectations gap creates same risks for Liberals in Canada as it did for Democrats in the U.S.

  • VANCOUVER—Donald Trump has won the U.S. presidency and many people are trying to figure out how it happened. In Canada, there are questions of
News | BY GREG LYLE | November 14, 2016
This graph shows how similar proportions of people in both Canada and the United States believe or don't believe in the possibility of prosperity in their respective countries, and similar proportions are or are not finding success in achieving it. Courtesy of Innovative Research Group

Expectations gap creates same risks for Liberals in Canada as it did for Democrats in the U.S.

News | BY GREG LYLE | November 14, 2016
  • VANCOUVER—Donald Trump has won the U.S. presidency and many people are trying to figure out how it happened. In Canada, there are questions of

Expectations gap creates same risks for Liberals in Canada as it did for Democrats in the U.S.

News | BY GREG LYLE | November 14, 2016
  • VANCOUVER—Donald Trump has won the U.S. presidency and many people are trying to figure out how it happened. In Canada, there are questions of
This graph shows how similar proportions of people in both Canada and the United States believe or don't believe in the possibility of prosperity in their respective countries, and similar proportions are or are not finding success in achieving it. Courtesy of Innovative Research Group

Budget adds to immediate NDP woes but potential for rebound remains

  • VANCOUVER—The first Liberal federal budget has twisted the Trudeau knife further in the wounded New Democratic Party. The first budget of the new government
News | BY GREG LYLE | April 11, 2016
NDP Leader Tom Mulcair, pictured campaigning in the last federal election. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

Budget adds to immediate NDP woes but potential for rebound remains

News | BY GREG LYLE | April 11, 2016
  • VANCOUVER—The first Liberal federal budget has twisted the Trudeau knife further in the wounded New Democratic Party. The first budget of the new government

Budget adds to immediate NDP woes but potential for rebound remains

News | BY GREG LYLE | April 11, 2016
  • VANCOUVER—The first Liberal federal budget has twisted the Trudeau knife further in the wounded New Democratic Party. The first budget of the new government
NDP Leader Tom Mulcair, pictured campaigning in the last federal election. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade
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